Huddersfield 3–2 Peterborough: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

3 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Peterborough

J. Taylor 90'

H. Kane 67'

W. Alves 60'

C. Hayes 90'

J. Morgan 47'

9/6/2025

League One · Round 7John Smit

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Huddersfield48%

×Draw24%

Peterborough27%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchPeterborough

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.20

Huddersfield

1.67

Peterborough

1.20

Huddersfield creates 39% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 39 away

1.75

creates per match

1.23

1.17

allows per match

1.59

creates per match

Huddersfield

1.75

Peterborough

1.23

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.17

Peterborough

1.59

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Peterborough+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Peterborough →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

32%68%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

73%

Huddersfield or Peterborough

76%

Draw or Peterborough

52%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

26%

Peterborough wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

81%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

50%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

23%

Peterborough 1+ goals

70%

Peterborough 2+ goals

34%

Peterborough 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

64%

Peterborough (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.75, concedes 1.17 · 24 matches

Peterborough away — creates 1.23, concedes 1.59 · 39 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.75 + Peterborough defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.67

Peterborough attack 1.23 + Huddersfield defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Huddersfield scores more

48%

level

24%

Peterborough scores more

27%

Huddersfield at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

J. Taylor

Huddersfield · F

7.9

Match Events

46'

Herbie Kane

46'

M. Wallace← J. Whatmough

47'

J. Morgan↳ H. Leonard

56'

L. Castledine← B. Wiles

56'

W. Alves← R. Roosken

59'

G. Lindgren← J. Morgan

60'

W. Alves↳ L. Sorensen

64'

C. Johnston← J. Mendy

67'

H. Kane↳ L. Castledine

75'

K. Lolos← T. Lees

75'

76'

80'

84'

90+4'

90'

J. Taylor↳ A. May

90'

C. Hayes↳ G. Lindgren

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldPeterborough

Overview

50%Possession50%

11Total Shots5

1Corners3

16Fouls10

Shots

11Total Shots5

5On Target3

4Off Target0

2Blocked2

7Inside Box4

4Outside Box1

Passing

50%Possession50%

457Total Passes452

373Accurate Passes376

82%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

Discipline

16Fouls10

1Yellow Cards1

3Offsides3

League One: Huddersfield 3–2 Peterborough

Huddersfield beat Peterborough 3-2 in League One on September 6, 2025.

Goals: J. Morgan (47'), W. Alves (60'), H. Kane (67'), J. Taylor (90'), C. Hayes (90').

Huddersfield controlled possession (50%) and registered 11 shots to 5.

The match was played at John Smit in Huddersfield.

Huddersfield vs Peterborough — League One 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

League One: Huddersfield 3–2 Peterborough