Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Patronato vs Banfield — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Patronato
Patronato
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Banfield
Banfield
N. Delgadillo 38'
L. Pons 78'
8/24/2021Liga Profesional ArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 8Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 66+ matches

Patronato39%
×Draw30%
Banfield32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Patronato
1.14
Banfield
1.00

Patronato creates 14% more chances

Season form · 66 home / 119 away

creates per match

Patronato
1.09
Banfield
0.89

allows per match

Patronato
1.11
Banfield
1.18

finishing

Patronato+0.00on par
Banfield+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Patronato ↓

Banfield →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Patronato or draw
68%
Patronato or Banfield
70%
Draw or Banfield
61%

Winning margin

Patronato wins by 2+
16%
Banfield wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Patronato 1+ goals
68%
Patronato 2+ goals
32%
Patronato 3+ goals
11%
Banfield 1+ goals
63%
Banfield 2+ goals
26%
Banfield 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Patronato (draw refunded)
55%
Banfield (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Patronato at home — creates 1.09, concedes 1.11 · 66 matches

Banfield away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.18 · 119 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Patronato attack 1.09 + Banfield defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.14

Banfield attack 0.89 + Patronato defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Patronato scores more
39%
level
30%
Banfield scores more
32%

Patronato at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Patronato will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1
F. AltamiranoBanfieldBanfield · G
8.3

Match Events

15'
Lucas Kruspzky
24'
Juan Álvarez
29'
Alexis Maldonado
38'
N. Delgadillo↳ M. Pardo
46'
M. Cuero← J. Soñora
46'
J. Dátolo← G. Miceli
46'
L. Pons← R. Enrique
50'
Hugo Magallanes
58'
F. Vázquez← N. Delgadillo
63'
Matías Pardo
64'
Franco Quinteros
67'
T. Banega← B. Nievas
69'
Luciano Lollo
78'
L. Pons↳ J. Dátolo
80'
M. Palavecino← L. Comas
81'
L. Marín← M. Pardo

Possession

32%Patronato

Shots

15Patronato

Pass accuracy

41%Patronato

Statistics

PatronatoBanfield
Overview
32%Possession68%
15Total Shots11
6Corners4
16Fouls10
Shots
15Total Shots11
9On Target4
4Off Target4
2Blocked3
10Inside Box7
5Outside Box4
Passing
32%Possession68%
215Total Passes464
116Accurate Passes360
54%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
3Saves7
Discipline
16Fouls10
3Yellow Cards4
1Offsides3

Liga Profesional Argentina: Patronato 1–1 Banfield

Patronato and Banfield drew 1-1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on August 24, 2021.

Goals: N. Delgadillo (38'), L. Pons (78').

Banfield controlled possession (68%) and registered 11 shots to 15.

The match was played at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella in Paraná, Provincia de Entre Ríos.