Panserraikos 0–2 Levadiakos: Result & Stats

Panserraikos

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Levadiakos

F. Pedrozo 89'

B. Verbic 57'

12/22/2025

Super League 1 · Round 15Dimotiko Stadio Serron

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Panserraikos34%

×Draw27%

Levadiakos39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PanserraikosExpected goals in this matchLevadiakos

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.16

1.27

Panserraikos

1.16

Levadiakos

1.27

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 7 home / 7 away

0.86

creates per match

0.90

1.64

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Panserraikos

0.86

Levadiakos

0.90

allows per match

Panserraikos

1.64

Levadiakos

1.46

-0.43scores less than expected

finishing

-0.19scores less than expected

finishing

Panserraikos-0.43scores less

Levadiakos-0.19scores less

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Panserraikos ↓

Levadiakos →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Panserraikos or draw

61%

Panserraikos or Levadiakos

73%

Draw or Levadiakos

66%

Winning margin

Panserraikos wins by 2+

14%

Levadiakos wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Panserraikos 1+ goals

69%

Panserraikos 2+ goals

32%

Panserraikos 3+ goals

11%

Levadiakos 1+ goals

72%

Levadiakos 2+ goals

36%

Levadiakos 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Panserraikos (draw refunded)

46%

Levadiakos (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Panserraikos at home — creates 0.86, concedes 1.64 · 7 matches

Levadiakos away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.46 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Panserraikos attack 0.86 + Levadiakos defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.16

Levadiakos attack 0.90 + Panserraikos defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Panserraikos scores more

34%

level

27%

Levadiakos scores more

39%

Levadiakos at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Levadiakos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

32

H. Magnusson

Levadiakos · D

8.2

Match Events

36'

Charalampos Georgiadis

39'

Francisco Tinaglini

42'

A. Tsompanidis← M. Sofianos

46'

B. Verbic← G. Balzi

57'

B. Verbic↳ T. Tsapras

63'

A. Ivan← N. Karelis

63'

A. Maras← E. Brooks

65'

F. Pedrozo←

65'

K. Goumas← A. Ozbolt

72'

Panagiotis Symelidis

78'

A. Tshibola← P. Symelidis

84'

B. A. Galvan← S. Omeonga

87'

G. Manthatis← H. Layous

88'

Charalampos Georgiadis

88'

Charalampos Georgiadis

89'

F. Pedrozo↳ S. Palacios

90+3'

Triantafyllos Tsapras

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

PanserraikosLevadiakos

Overview

37%Possession63%

8Total Shots17

2Corners7

14Fouls10

Shots

8Total Shots17

1On Target6

4Off Target7

3Blocked4

5Inside Box13

3Outside Box4

Passing

37%Possession63%

300Total Passes523

211Accurate Passes435

70%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

3Saves0

Discipline

14Fouls10

2Yellow Cards2

2Red Cards0

2Offsides4