Olimpia 0–0 Rubio NU: Result & Stats

Olimpia

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Rubio NU

2/14/2026

Division Profesional - Apertura · Apertura - 5Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

Olimpia56%

×Draw23%

Rubio NU21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

OlimpiaExpected goals in this matchRubio NU

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.78

1.00

Olimpia

1.78

Rubio NU

1.00

Olimpia creates 78% more chances

Season form · 95 home / 24 away

1.98

creates per match

0.96

1.05

allows per match

1.58

creates per match

Olimpia

1.98

Rubio NU

0.96

allows per match

Olimpia

1.05

Rubio NU

1.58

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Olimpia+0.00on par

Rubio NU+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpia ↓

Rubio NU →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Olimpia or draw

79%

Olimpia or Rubio NU

77%

Draw or Rubio NU

44%

Winning margin

Olimpia wins by 2+

31%

Rubio NU wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Olimpia 1+ goals

83%

Olimpia 2+ goals

53%

Olimpia 3+ goals

26%

Rubio NU 1+ goals

63%

Rubio NU 2+ goals

26%

Rubio NU 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Olimpia (draw refunded)

72%

Rubio NU (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpia at home — creates 1.98, concedes 1.05 · 95 matches

Rubio NU away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.58 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpia attack 1.98 + Rubio NU defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.78

Rubio NU attack 0.96 + Olimpia defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Olimpia scores more

56%

level

23%

Rubio NU scores more

21%

Olimpia at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Olimpia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

G. Olveira

Olimpia · G

7.9

Match Events

12'

Raúl Cáceres

45+1'

Juan Giménez

49'

Sebastián Ferreira

49'

Sebastián FerreiraCard upgrade

51'

A. Alcaraz← F. Alfonso

51'

J. F. Alfaro← E. Delmas

56'

A. Chala← A. F. Rodriguez Armoa

58'

Juan Fernando Alfaro

66'

C. Gimenez← R. Rojas

77'

B. Bentaberry← R. Ortiz

77'

H. Sandoval← A. F. Franco Zayas

77'

P. Baez← M. Roldan

77'

O. Alfonso← R. Alborno

88'

E. Perez← J. J. Gimenez Delgado

88'

A. Leguizamon← W. Mendieta

89'

Gastón Olveira

90+2'

Anderson LeguizamonPenalty confirmed

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

OlimpiaRubio

Overview

56%Possession44%

18Total Shots11

1.99Expected Goals (xG)1.30

7Corners5

11Fouls8

Shots

18Total Shots11

5On Target2

10Off Target5

3Blocked4

15Inside Box7

3Outside Box4

Passing

56%Possession44%

381Total Passes306

310Accurate Passes234

81%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

2Saves5

Discipline

11Fouls8

3Yellow Cards1

1Red Cards0

2Offsides2