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Odra Opole vs Podbeskidzie — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Odra Opole
Odra Opole
CANC
12:00
Podbeskidzie
Podbeskidzie
7/12/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Odra Opole32%
×Draw26%
Podbeskidzie43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Odra Opole
1.24
Podbeskidzie
1.48

Podbeskidzie creates 19% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 9 away

creates per match

Odra Opole
1.36
Podbeskidzie
1.78

allows per match

Odra Opole
1.18
Podbeskidzie
1.11

finishing

Odra Opole+0.00on par
Podbeskidzie+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Odra Opole ↓

Podbeskidzie →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–110%
0–27%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Odra Opole or draw
57%
Odra Opole or Podbeskidzie
74%
Draw or Podbeskidzie
68%

Winning margin

Odra Opole wins by 2+
13%
Podbeskidzie wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Odra Opole 1+ goals
71%
Odra Opole 2+ goals
35%
Odra Opole 3+ goals
13%
Podbeskidzie 1+ goals
77%
Podbeskidzie 2+ goals
43%
Podbeskidzie 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Odra Opole (draw refunded)
43%
Podbeskidzie (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Odra Opole at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.18 · 11 matches

Podbeskidzie away — creates 1.78, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Odra Opole attack 1.36 + Podbeskidzie defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.24

Podbeskidzie attack 1.78 + Odra Opole defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Odra Opole scores more
32%
level
26%
Podbeskidzie scores more
43%

Podbeskidzie at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Podbeskidzie will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Odra Opole vs Podbeskidzie — Match Preview

Odra Opole face Podbeskidzie on July 12, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Odra Opole host Podbeskidzie at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.