Oddevold 1–2 Landskrona BoIS: Result & Stats

Oddevold

FT

1 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

Landskrona BoIS

A. Engelbrektsson 82'

C. Streete 69'

E. Hedenquist 61' (OG)

6/1/2025

Superettan · Round 11Rimnersvallen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

Oddevold32%

×Draw24%

Landskrona BoIS43%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

OddevoldExpected goals in this matchLandskrona BoIS

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

1.60

Oddevold

1.35

Landskrona BoIS

1.60

Landskrona BoIS creates 19% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 15 away

1.20

creates per match

1.85

1.36

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Oddevold

1.20

Landskrona BoIS

1.85

allows per match

Oddevold

1.36

Landskrona BoIS

1.50

+0.20scores more than expected

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

Oddevold+0.20scores more

Landskrona BoIS-0.18scores less

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oddevold ↓

Landskrona BoIS →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–27%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

34%66%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Oddevold or draw

57%

Oddevold or Landskrona BoIS

76%

Draw or Landskrona BoIS

68%

Winning margin

Oddevold wins by 2+

14%

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Oddevold 1+ goals

74%

Oddevold 2+ goals

39%

Oddevold 3+ goals

15%

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

80%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

47%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Oddevold (draw refunded)

43%

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oddevold at home — creates 1.20, concedes 1.36 · 10 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.85, concedes 1.50 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oddevold attack 1.20 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.35

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.85 + Oddevold defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Oddevold scores more

32%

level

24%

Landskrona BoIS scores more

43%

Landskrona BoIS at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

E. Sylisufaj

Landskrona BoIS · F

8.3

Match Events

35'

Melker Jonsson

58'

O. Iglicar← G. Forssell

58'

A. Stroud← R. Wiedesheim-Paul

61'

E. HedenquistOwn goal

62'

H. Nasstrom← V. Sundberg

62'

K. Fosuhene Asare← K. Jensen

69'

C. Streete↳ H. Nasstrom

72'

G. Weststrom← R. Rahmani

72'

M. Bjorkqvist← C. Capotondi

76'

F. Karlin← L. Kalludra

78'

V. Karlsson← C. Streete

82'

A. Engelbrektsson↳ E. Derviskadic

86'

C. Adahl← O. Kjellman Olblad

88'

Max Nilsson

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

OddevoldLandskrona

Overview

37%Possession63%

13Total Shots12

0.95Expected Goals (xG)1.11

5Corners4

7Fouls13

Shots

13Total Shots12

3On Target3

3Off Target1

7Blocked8

5Inside Box8

8Outside Box4

Passing

37%Possession63%

364Total Passes680

301Accurate Passes597

83%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

7Fouls13

0Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

1Offsides1

Match Recap: Oddevold vs Landskrona BoIS

Landskrona BoIS beat Oddevold 2-1 in Superettan on June 1, 2025.

Goals: E. Hedenquist (61' o.g.), C. Streete (69'), A. Engelbrektsson (82').

Landskrona BoIS controlled possession (63%) and registered 12 shots to 13.

The match was played at Rimnersvallen in Uddevalla.

Oddevold vs Landskrona BoIS — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Oddevold vs Landskrona BoIS