Landskrona BoIS 2–1 Oddevold: Result & Stats

Landskrona BoIS

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Oddevold

F. Ihler 64'

R. Dzabic 27'

G. Sandberg 90+2'

4/13/2024

Superettan · Round 3Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Landskrona BoIS47%

×Draw26%

Oddevold27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchOddevold

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.10

Landskrona BoIS

1.52

Oddevold

1.10

Landskrona BoIS creates 38% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 7 away

1.68

creates per match

0.93

1.28

allows per match

1.35

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.68

Oddevold

0.93

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.28

Oddevold

1.35

-0.21scores less than expected

finishing

+0.36scores more than expected

finishing

Landskrona BoIS-0.21scores less

Oddevold+0.36scores more

Total goals

Under51
Over49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

Oddevold →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

49%51%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

73%

Landskrona BoIS or Oddevold

74%

Draw or Oddevold

53%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

24%

Oddevold wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

78%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

45%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

20%

Oddevold 1+ goals

67%

Oddevold 2+ goals

30%

Oddevold 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

63%

Oddevold (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.68, concedes 1.28 · 17 matches

Oddevold away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.35 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.68 + Oddevold defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.52

Oddevold attack 0.93 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

47%

level

26%

Oddevold scores more

27%

Landskrona BoIS at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8

R. Dzabic

Landskrona BoIS · M

8.0

Match Events

27'

R. Dzabic

36'

John Paul Dembe

56'

Adam Engelbrektsson

62'

V. Karlsson← A. Egnell

62'

J. Strid← K. Asare

62'

L. Kalludra← N. Bernhardtz

62'

O. Kjellman Olblad← A. Al Hamlawi

62'

G. Forssell← J. Dembe

64'

F. Ihler

72'

E. Hedenquist← F. Ihler

72'

F. Sachpekidis← M. Nilsson

78'

G. Sandberg← A. Pettersson

84'

M. Mohamed← V. Sundberg

90+2'

G. Sandberg

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LandskronaOddevold

Overview

61%Possession39%

8Total Shots8

0.75Expected Goals (xG)0.63

8Corners4

12Fouls15

Shots

8Total Shots8

4On Target3

2Off Target3

2Blocked2

5Inside Box6

3Outside Box2

Passing

61%Possession39%

571Total Passes302

497Accurate Passes228

87%Pass Accuracy75%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls15

0Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

1Offsides1

Match Recap: Landskrona BoIS vs Oddevold

Landskrona BoIS beat Oddevold 2-1 in Superettan on April 13, 2024.

Goals: R. Dzabic (27'), F. Ihler (64'), G. Sandberg (90+2').

Landskrona BoIS controlled possession (61%) and registered 8 shots to 8.

The match was played at Landskrona Idrottsplats in Landskrona.

Landskrona BoIS vs Oddevold — Superettan 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Landskrona BoIS vs Oddevold