National Bank of Egypt 1–5 Enppi: Result & Stats

National Bank of Egypt

FT

1 – 5

HT: 1 – 1

Enppi

Y. Annor 26'

Youssef Labib 90+6'

Mostafa Adel 88'

Mohamed Naser 74', 55'

Ahmed Amin Aoufa 45+7'

5/5/2024

Premier League · Round 21Cairo International Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 97+ matches

National Bank of Egypt38%

×Draw28%

Enppi34%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

National Bank of EgyptExpected goals in this matchEnppi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

1.13

National Bank of Egypt

1.21

Enppi

1.13

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 97 home / 131 away

1.26

creates per match

1.07

1.19

allows per match

1.16

creates per match

National Bank of Egypt

1.26

Enppi

1.07

allows per match

National Bank of Egypt

1.19

Enppi

1.16

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

National Bank of Egypt+0.00on par

Enppi+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

National Bank of Egypt ↓

Enppi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

National Bank of Egypt or draw

66%

National Bank of Egypt or Enppi

72%

Draw or Enppi

62%

Winning margin

National Bank of Egypt wins by 2+

16%

Enppi wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

National Bank of Egypt 1+ goals

70%

National Bank of Egypt 2+ goals

34%

National Bank of Egypt 3+ goals

12%

Enppi 1+ goals

68%

Enppi 2+ goals

31%

Enppi 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

National Bank of Egypt (draw refunded)

53%

Enppi (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

National Bank of Egypt at home — creates 1.26, concedes 1.19 · 97 matches

Enppi away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.16 · 131 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

National Bank of Egypt attack 1.26 + Enppi defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.21

Enppi attack 1.07 + National Bank of Egypt defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

National Bank of Egypt scores more

38%

level

28%

Enppi scores more

34%

National Bank of Egypt at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "National Bank of Egypt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

Mohamed Naser

Enppi · M

8.7

Match Events

19'

Assem Salah← I. Yakubu

26'

Y. Annor

39'

Saidou Simpore

45+3'

Yaw Annor

45+7'

Ahmed Amin Aoufa↳ Mohamed Naser

46'

Ahmed El Agouz← Ahmed Youssef

46'

R. Kabou← Mohamed Hamed

55'

Mohamed Naser↳ Mostafa Shakshak

58'

Mohamed Grendo← Ibrahim Hassan

59'

Mohamed Helal← Ahmed Madbouly

70'

Mahmoud Kaoud← S. Simporé

70'

S. Aka← Mohamed Bassiouny

74'

Mohamed Naser↳ Mostafa Adel

75'

Seif Elkhashab← Mohamed Hamdy

77'

83'

83'

84'

86'

Fathi El Sayed← Mostafa Shakshak

88'

Mostafa Adel

90+1'

Youssef Labib← Ahmed Amin Aoufa

90+6'

Youssef Labib↳ Abdel Rahman Samir

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

NationalEnppi

Overview

54%Possession46%

17Total Shots13

4Corners4

9Fouls12

Shots

17Total Shots13

7On Target8

6Off Target4

4Blocked1

9Inside Box8

8Outside Box5

Passing

54%Possession46%

377Total Passes322

277Accurate Passes222

73%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

3Saves6

Discipline

9Fouls12

4Yellow Cards2

4Offsides3

Match Recap: National Bank of Egypt vs Enppi

Enppi beat National Bank of Egypt 5-1 in Premier League on May 5, 2024.

Goals: Y. Annor (26'), Ahmed Amin Aoufa (45+7'), Mohamed Naser (55', 74'), Mostafa Adel (88'), Youssef Labib (90+6').

National Bank of Egypt controlled possession (54%) and registered 17 shots to 13.

The match was played at Cairo International Stadium in Cairo.

National Bank of Egypt vs Enppi — Premier League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: National Bank of Egypt vs Enppi