Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 7+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
36%
Over
64%
Under
Both Score
43%
Yes
57%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14%
1-1
13%
0-0
12%
xG Profile (10 home / 7 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.09 · xGA 1.2
+0.41 vs xG
Arouca
xG 0.68 · xGA 1.33
+0.18 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Arouca — Primeira Liga 2026
Primeira Liga·2026📍Estádio da Madeira- Date
- Feb 1, 2025, 3:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20
- Referee
- Pedro Ramalho
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52146%
- Under 2.52554%
Both teams scored
- Yes2043%
- No2657%
Arouca
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53561%
- Under 2.52239%
Both teams scored
- Yes3053%
- No2747%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Nacional host Arouca on Saturday, 1 February 2025 at 15:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Nacional 1 – 2 Arouca
Arouca beat Nacional 2-1 in Primeira Liga on February 1, 2025.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Ilha da Madeira.