Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 22+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
58%
Over
42%
Under
Both Score
59%
Yes
41%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
10%
1-0
9%
xG Profile (22 home / 22 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.36 · xGA 1.41
+0 vs xG
Arouca
xG 1.14 · xGA 2.14
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Arouca — Primeira Liga 2025
Primeira Liga·2025📍Estádio da Madeira- Date
- Sep 20, 2025, 2:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52043%
- Under 2.52657%
Both teams scored
- Yes2248%
- No2452%
Arouca
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52764%
- Under 2.51536%
Both teams scored
- Yes2252%
- No2048%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Nacional host Arouca on Saturday, 20 September 2025 at 14:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season.
Match Recap: Nacional vs Arouca
Arouca beat Nacional 2-1 in Primeira Liga on September 20, 2025.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.