Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 20+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
50%
Over
50%
Under
Both Score
54%
Yes
46%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (20 home / 21 away matches)
Arouca
xG 1.5 · xGA 1.6
+0 vs xG
Nacional
xG 0.86 · xGA 1.38
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Arouca vs Nacional — Primeira Liga 2025
Primeira Liga·2025📍Estádio Municipal de Arouca- Date
- Feb 21, 2026, 3:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23
- Referee
- L. Filipe
- Venue
- Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Arouca
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52764%
- Under 2.51536%
Both teams scored
- Yes2252%
- No2048%
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52043%
- Under 2.52657%
Both teams scored
- Yes2248%
- No2452%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Arouca host Nacional on Saturday, 21 February 2026 at 15:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season.
Primeira Liga: Arouca 3–0 Nacional
Arouca beat Nacional 3-0 in Primeira Liga on February 21, 2026.
The match was played at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca.