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Mjallby AIF vs Osters IF — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
CANC
13:00
Osters IF
Osters IF
3/10/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Strandvallen Konstgräs

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Mjallby AIF59%
×Draw20%
Osters IF22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mjallby AIF
2.33
Osters IF
1.36

Mjallby AIF creates 71% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 9 away

creates per match

Mjallby AIF
2.67
Osters IF
1.56

allows per match

Mjallby AIF
1.17
Osters IF
2.00

finishing

Mjallby AIF+0.00on par
Osters IF+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mjallby AIF ↓

Osters IF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Mjallby AIF or draw
78%
Mjallby AIF or Osters IF
80%
Draw or Osters IF
41%

Winning margin

Mjallby AIF wins by 2+
37%
Osters IF wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Mjallby AIF 1+ goals
90%
Mjallby AIF 2+ goals
67%
Mjallby AIF 3+ goals
41%
Osters IF 1+ goals
74%
Osters IF 2+ goals
39%
Osters IF 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Mjallby AIF (draw refunded)
73%
Osters IF (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mjallby AIF at home — creates 2.67, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Osters IF away — creates 1.56, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mjallby AIF attack 2.67 + Osters IF defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.33

Osters IF attack 1.56 + Mjallby AIF defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Mjallby AIF scores more
59%
level
20%
Osters IF scores more
22%

Mjallby AIF at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Mjallby AIF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Mjallby AIF host Osters IF

March 10, 2024: Mjallby AIF take on Osters IF in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Mjallby AIF host Osters IF at Strandvallen Konstgräs.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.