Maccabi Netanya vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona — Ligat Ha'al 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 86+ matches
Maccabi Netanya41%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona33%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Maccabi Netanya creates 15% more chances
Season form · 109 home / 86 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under50
- Over50
Close call
Both teams score
- Yes54
- No46
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Maccabi Netanya ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Maccabi Netanya at home — creates 1.39, concedes 1.30 · 109 matches
Ironi Kiryat Shmona away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.49 · 86 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Maccabi Netanya attack 1.39 + Ironi Kiryat Shmona defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.44
Ironi Kiryat Shmona attack 1.20 + Maccabi Netanya defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.25
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 41%?"
Maccabi Netanya at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 41% does not mean "Maccabi Netanya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Player of the match
Match Events
Head to Head
5 previous meetings
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Netanya
Ironi TiberiasIroni Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei RainaIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Maccabi Netanya host Ironi Kiryat Shmona on Saturday, 7 February 2026 at 17:30. The match is part of the Ligat Ha'al 2019/2020 season.
Ligat Ha'al: Maccabi Netanya 1–1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Maccabi Netanya and Ironi Kiryat Shmona drew 1-1 in Ligat Ha'al on February 7, 2026.
Goals: Matheus Davo (29'), A. Ugarriza (52').
Maccabi Netanya controlled possession (65%) and registered 18 shots to 8.
The match was played at Netanya Stadium in Netanya.