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Lausanne vs Grasshoppers — Super League 2025

Lausanne
Lausanne
Preview
16:00
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
7/25/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 1Stade de la Tuiliere
Big match
49%
Lausanne
model favours
49%22%28%

Lausanne score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
64%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Lausanne49%
×Draw22%
Grasshoppers28%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Lausanne
1.90
Grasshoppers
1.40

Lausanne creates 36% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 27 away

creates per match

Lausanne
1.91
Grasshoppers
1.11

allows per match

Lausanne
1.68
Grasshoppers
1.89

finishing

Lausanne+0.00on par
Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lausanne ↓

Grasshoppers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Lausanne or draw
72%
Lausanne or Grasshoppers
78%
Draw or Grasshoppers
51%

Winning margin

Lausanne wins by 2+
28%
Grasshoppers wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Lausanne 1+ goals
85%
Lausanne 2+ goals
56%
Lausanne 3+ goals
29%
Grasshoppers 1+ goals
75%
Grasshoppers 2+ goals
41%
Grasshoppers 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Lausanne (draw refunded)
63%
Grasshoppers (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lausanne at home — creates 1.91, concedes 1.68 · 22 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.89 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lausanne attack 1.91 + Grasshoppers defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.90

Grasshoppers attack 1.11 + Lausanne defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Lausanne scores more
49%
level
22%
Grasshoppers scores more
28%

Lausanne at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Lausanne will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Grasshoppers score first in only 17% of matches
  • 67% of Lausanne’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 meetings
  • Lausanne outscore their xG (2.3 vs 2.0 expected)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Lausanne
Attack-heavy
Grasshoppers
Balanced
51%Possession46%
78%Pass accuracy72%
14.4Shots11.9
1.96xGBiggest gap1.24
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
LausanneGrasshoppers

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

1
Lausanne
2
Draws
2
Grasshoppers
Avg goals: 3.8BTTS: 100%
1–33–21–11–32–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Lausanne
LWLWW
Grasshoppers
LLWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Lausanne vs Grasshoppers — Match Preview

Lausanne face Grasshoppers on July 25, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Lausanne host Grasshoppers at Stade de la Tuiliere.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.