Lausanne 2–2 Grasshoppers: Result & Stats

Lausanne

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Grasshoppers

F. Oviedo 90+6'

A. Sanches 13'

A. Bojang 60', 55'

2/22/2025

Super League · Round 25Stade de la Tuilière

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Lausanne56%

×Draw23%

Grasshoppers21%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LausanneExpected goals in this matchGrasshoppers

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

1.02

Lausanne

1.80

Grasshoppers

1.02

Lausanne creates 76% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 16 away

2.01

creates per match

1.05

0.98

allows per match

1.59

creates per match

Lausanne

2.01

Grasshoppers

1.05

allows per match

Lausanne

0.98

Grasshoppers

1.59

+0.59scores more than expected

finishing

-0.17scores less than expected

finishing

Lausanne+0.59scores more

Grasshoppers-0.17scores less

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lausanne ↓

Grasshoppers →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Lausanne or draw

79%

Lausanne or Grasshoppers

77%

Draw or Grasshoppers

44%

Winning margin

Lausanne wins by 2+

31%

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Lausanne 1+ goals

83%

Lausanne 2+ goals

54%

Lausanne 3+ goals

27%

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

64%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

27%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Lausanne (draw refunded)

72%

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lausanne at home — creates 2.01, concedes 0.98 · 5 matches

Grasshoppers away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.59 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lausanne attack 2.01 + Grasshoppers defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.80

Grasshoppers attack 1.05 + Lausanne defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Lausanne scores more

56%

level

23%

Grasshoppers scores more

21%

Lausanne at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Lausanne will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

A. Bojang

Grasshoppers · F

8.6

Match Events

13'

A. Sanches

45'

Dirk Abels

55'

A. Bojang↳ N. Irankunda

60'

A. Bojang↳ A. Seko

65'

T. Verón Lupi← A. Abrashi

65'

N. Muci← L. Kabashi

68'

B. Lekoueiry← O. Custodio

68'

K. Sène← K. de la Fuente

72'

Marvin Senaya

76'

E. Maurin← N. Irankunda

79'

R. Giger← M. Senaya

79'

F. Oviedo← A. Balde

89'

I. Hassane← A. Bojang

90+1'

Justin Hammel

90+6'

F. Oviedo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LausanneGrasshoppers

Overview

56%Possession44%

13Total Shots10

1.13Expected Goals (xG)0.84

7Corners5

10Fouls22

Shots

13Total Shots10

5On Target2

5Off Target5

3Blocked3

11Inside Box6

2Outside Box4

Passing

56%Possession44%

434Total Passes342

351Accurate Passes223

81%Pass Accuracy65%

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

Discipline

10Fouls22

1Yellow Cards2

3Offsides2