Grasshoppers 3–1 Lausanne: Result & Stats

Grasshoppers

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 0

Lausanne

J. Asp 74'

Lee Young-Jun 68' (pen)

L. Plange 40'

M. Al Saad 76'

9/14/2025

Super League · Round 6Letzigrund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Grasshoppers44%

×Draw24%

Lausanne32%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GrasshoppersExpected goals in this matchLausanne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.39

Grasshoppers

1.67

Lausanne

1.39

Grasshoppers creates 20% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 21 away

1.58

creates per match

1.24

1.54

allows per match

1.76

creates per match

Grasshoppers

1.58

Lausanne

1.24

allows per match

Grasshoppers

1.54

Lausanne

1.76

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Lausanne+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

Lausanne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw

68%

Grasshoppers or Lausanne

76%

Draw or Lausanne

56%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

23%

Lausanne wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

81%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

50%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

23%

Lausanne 1+ goals

75%

Lausanne 2+ goals

40%

Lausanne 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

58%

Lausanne (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.54 · 26 matches

Lausanne away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.76 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.58 + Lausanne defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.67

Lausanne attack 1.24 + Grasshoppers defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Grasshoppers scores more

44%

level

24%

Lausanne scores more

32%

Grasshoppers at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

J. Asp

Grasshoppers · F

8.9

Match Events

16'

Tim Meyer

22'

Papa Souleymane N'Diaye

31'

A. Diaby← S. Decarli

32'

Beyatt Lekoueiry

38'

Kevin Mouanga

40'

L. Plange↳ J. Asp

46'

A. Arigoni← S. Marques

46'

T. Bair← N. Butler-Oyedeji

46'

G. Sigua← K. Mouanga

49'

Papa Souleymane N'Diaye

49'

Papa Souleymane N'Diaye

54'

E. Kana-Biyik← A. Ajdini

58'

Brandon Soppy

65'

Lee Young-Jun← N. Muci

67'

Karlo Letica

68'

Lee Young-JunPenalty

70'

H. Abdallah← B. Soppy

70'

M. Al Saad← B. Lekoueiry

74'

J. Asp↳ T. Meyer

76'

M. Al Saad↳ M. Poaty

80'

O. Clemente← L. Plange

80'

L. Giandomenico← S. Stroscio

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GrasshoppersLausanne

Overview

46%Possession54%

12Total Shots10

1.66Expected Goals (xG)1.36

8Corners1

15Fouls11

Shots

12Total Shots10

5On Target4

5Off Target3

2Blocked3

8Inside Box7

4Outside Box3

Passing

46%Possession54%

289Total Passes356

183Accurate Passes254

63%Pass Accuracy71%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

15Fouls11

1Yellow Cards6

0Red Cards1

6Offsides6