Grasshoppers 2–3 Lausanne: Result & Stats

Grasshoppers

FT

2 – 3

HT: 1 – 1

Lausanne

L. Plange 72'

D. Abels 8'

S. Traore 63'

O. Custodio 50'

K. Mouanga 22'

3/8/2026

Super League · Round 29Letzigrund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Grasshoppers42%

×Draw23%

Lausanne34%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GrasshoppersExpected goals in this matchLausanne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.68

1.50

Grasshoppers

1.68

Lausanne

1.50

Grasshoppers creates 12% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 21 away

1.59

creates per match

1.24

1.77

allows per match

1.76

creates per match

Grasshoppers

1.59

Lausanne

1.24

allows per match

Grasshoppers

1.77

Lausanne

1.76

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Grasshoppers+0.00on par

Lausanne+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grasshoppers ↓

Lausanne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Grasshoppers or draw

66%

Grasshoppers or Lausanne

77%

Draw or Lausanne

58%

Winning margin

Grasshoppers wins by 2+

22%

Lausanne wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Grasshoppers 1+ goals

81%

Grasshoppers 2+ goals

50%

Grasshoppers 3+ goals

24%

Lausanne 1+ goals

78%

Lausanne 2+ goals

44%

Lausanne 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Grasshoppers (draw refunded)

55%

Lausanne (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grasshoppers at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.77 · 22 matches

Lausanne away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.76 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grasshoppers attack 1.59 + Lausanne defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.68

Lausanne attack 1.24 + Grasshoppers defence 1.77 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Grasshoppers scores more

42%

level

23%

Lausanne scores more

34%

Grasshoppers at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Grasshoppers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10

O. Custodio

Lausanne · M

8.9

Match Events

8'

D. Abels

22'

K. Mouanga↳ O. Custodio

33'

Simone Stroscio

46'

S. Krasniqi← J. Asp

50'

O. Custodio

56'

H. Imourane← L. Mikulic

61'

S. Kone← B. Lekoueiry

63'

S. Traore↳ M. Poaty

72'

L. Plange↳ D. Abels

78'

E. Kana-Biyik← S. Traore

79'

S. Fofana← N. Beloko

89'

Michael Frey

89'

T. Bair← O. Janneh

89'

A. Ajdini← G. Diakite

90+4'

90+1'

90+1'

90+2'

90+1'

Lee Young-Jun← D. Abels

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GrasshoppersLausanne

Overview

54%Possession46%

18Total Shots16

1.85Expected Goals (xG)1.57

9Corners6

12Fouls6

Shots

18Total Shots16

6On Target6

8Off Target5

4Blocked5

16Inside Box11

2Outside Box5

Passing

54%Possession46%

359Total Passes323

252Accurate Passes211

70%Pass Accuracy65%

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

0.39Goals Prevented0.39

Discipline

12Fouls6

4Yellow Cards1

1Red Cards0

2Offsides1