Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Orebro SK: Result & Stats

Landskrona BoIS

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Orebro SK

E. Sylisufaj 78'

6/22/2025

Superettan · Round 13Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Landskrona BoIS49%

×Draw24%

Orebro SK26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchOrebro SK

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.15

Landskrona BoIS

1.67

Orebro SK

1.15

Landskrona BoIS creates 45% more chances

Season form · 98 home / 68 away

1.55

creates per match

1.09

1.21

allows per match

1.79

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.55

Orebro SK

1.09

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.21

Orebro SK

1.79

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Orebro SK+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

Orebro SK →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

74%

Landskrona BoIS or Orebro SK

76%

Draw or Orebro SK

51%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

26%

Orebro SK wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

81%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

50%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

23%

Orebro SK 1+ goals

68%

Orebro SK 2+ goals

32%

Orebro SK 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

65%

Orebro SK (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.21 · 98 matches

Orebro SK away — creates 1.09, concedes 1.79 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.55 + Orebro SK defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.67

Orebro SK attack 1.09 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

49%

level

24%

Orebro SK scores more

26%

Landskrona BoIS at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

E. Sylisufaj

Landskrona BoIS · F

8.0

Match Events

3'

Hampus Söderstrom

66'

M. Bajrovic← L. Astvald

69'

C. Stark← X. Odhiambo

72'

S. Tipura← E. Andersson

72'

W. Dukhan← K. Holmberg

74'

M. Bjorkqvist← V. Karlsson

74'

K. Fosuhene Asare← C. Streete

78'

E. Sylisufaj↳ M. Nilsson

82'

H. Dana← B. Asumang

90+4'

M. Mohamed← E. Sylisufaj

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LandskronaOrebro

Overview

61%Possession39%

10Total Shots7

0.70Expected Goals (xG)0.83

2Corners6

15Fouls14

Shots

10Total Shots7

5On Target2

2Off Target3

3Blocked2

6Inside Box4

4Outside Box3

Passing

61%Possession39%

555Total Passes353

475Accurate Passes274

86%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

15Fouls14

0Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards0

2Offsides0