Landskrona BoIS 1–2 Falkenbergs FF: Result & Stats

Landskrona BoIS

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Falkenbergs FF

A. Murbeck 40'

T. Stalheden 89'

L. Borgstrom 24'

4/12/2026

Superettan · Round 2Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 54+ matches

Landskrona BoIS41%

×Draw24%

Falkenbergs FF35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchFalkenbergs FF

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.56

1.41

Landskrona BoIS

1.56

Falkenbergs FF

1.41

Landskrona BoIS creates 11% more chances

Season form · 98 home / 54 away

1.55

creates per match

1.61

1.21

allows per match

1.57

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.55

Falkenbergs FF

1.61

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.21

Falkenbergs FF

1.57

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Falkenbergs FF+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

Falkenbergs FF →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

65%

Landskrona BoIS or Falkenbergs FF

76%

Draw or Falkenbergs FF

59%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

20%

Falkenbergs FF wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

79%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

46%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

21%

Falkenbergs FF 1+ goals

76%

Falkenbergs FF 2+ goals

41%

Falkenbergs FF 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

54%

Falkenbergs FF (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.21 · 98 matches

Falkenbergs FF away — creates 1.61, concedes 1.57 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.55 + Falkenbergs FF defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.56

Falkenbergs FF attack 1.61 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

41%

level

24%

Falkenbergs FF scores more

35%

Landskrona BoIS at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

24'

L. Borgstrom↳ A. Andersson

40'

A. Murbeck↳ M. Bjorkqvist

44'

Max'Med Omar Mohamed

62'

G. Elezaj← M. Mohamed

69'

W. Videhult← H. Komano

69'

L. Beqiri← E. Mohammad

76'

E. Sylisufaj← X. Odhiambo

76'

E. Hebibovic← K. Jensen

78'

G. Johansson← N. Bertilsson

78'

L. Sangare← G. Aguda

89'

T. Stalheden↳ A. Andersson

90+1'

A. Egnell← C. Capotondi

90+1'

N. Hansson← O. Lindberg

Landskrona4-2-3-1

Falkenbergs4-4-2

29

▼

Komano

9

A

Andersson

10

▼

Mohammad

28

Nilsson

30

▼

Aguda

19

▼

Lindberg

8

▼

Bertilsso

23

Salo

4

⚽

Stalheden

6

⚽

31

1

12

6

26

⚽

Murbeck

4

Bruzelius

15

▼

Mohamed

18

Perez

21

▼

Jensen

10

▼

Capotondi

11

A

Bjorkqvis

20

▼

Odhiambo

Manager: Robin Asterhed

62'▲G. Elezaj←▼M. Mohamed

76'▲E. Sylisufaj←▼X. Odhiambo

76'▲E. Hebibovic←▼K. Jensen

90+1'▲A. Egnell←▼C. Capotondi

Landskrona BoIS substitutes

30Pettersson2Akesson5Egnell8Smajic9Sylisufaj17Elezaj22Stark23Loukili36Hebibovic

Manager: Christoffer Andersson

69'▲W. Videhult←▼H. Komano

69'▲L. Beqiri←▼E. Mohammad

78'▲G. Johansson←▼N. Bertilsson

78'▲L. Sangare←▼G. Aguda

90+1'▲N. Hansson←▼O. Lindberg

Falkenbergs FF substitutes

1Andersson2Johansson3Lundgren5Hansson11Kallstrom14Videhult17Miftari18Sangare21Beqiri