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Falkenbergs FF vs Landskrona BoIS — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Falkenbergs FF
Falkenbergs FF
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS
G. Aguda 90+1' (pen)
Unknown 59' (OG)
K. Jensen 38'
7/11/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Falkenbergs FF72%
×Draw17%
Landskrona BoIS11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Falkenbergs FF
2.42
Landskrona BoIS
0.85

Falkenbergs FF creates 185% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Falkenbergs FF
2.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.20

allows per match

Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Landskrona BoIS
2.20

finishing

Falkenbergs FF+0.00on par
Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Falkenbergs FF ↓

Landskrona BoIS →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Falkenbergs FF or draw
89%
Falkenbergs FF or Landskrona BoIS
83%
Draw or Landskrona BoIS
28%

Winning margin

Falkenbergs FF wins by 2+
49%
Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Falkenbergs FF 1+ goals
91%
Falkenbergs FF 2+ goals
69%
Falkenbergs FF 3+ goals
43%
Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals
57%
Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals
21%
Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Falkenbergs FF (draw refunded)
86%
Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Falkenbergs FF at home — creates 2.63, concedes 0.50 · 8 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.20, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Falkenbergs FF attack 2.63 + Landskrona BoIS defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 2.42

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.20 + Falkenbergs FF defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Falkenbergs FF scores more
72%
level
17%
Landskrona BoIS scores more
11%

Falkenbergs FF at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Falkenbergs FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

38'
K. Jensen
55'
59'
Own goal
86'
90+1'
G. AgudaPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Falkenbergs FF 1 – 2 Landskrona BoIS

Landskrona BoIS beat Falkenbergs FF 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 11, 2026.

Goals: K. Jensen (38'), ? (59' o.g.), G. Aguda (90+1' pen).