Landskrona BoIS 3–3 Falkenbergs FF: Result & Stats

Landskrona BoIS

FT

3 – 3

HT: 1 – 3

Falkenbergs FF

C. Stark 63'

E. Hebibovic 60'

C. Streete 21'

H. Komano 28'

H. Kallstrom 17', 8'

3/3/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Landskrona BoIS40%

×Draw23%

Falkenbergs FF37%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Landskrona BoISExpected goals in this matchFalkenbergs FF

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

1.61

Landskrona BoIS

1.67

Falkenbergs FF

1.61

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

2.13

creates per match

1.60

1.63

allows per match

1.20

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS

2.13

Falkenbergs FF

1.60

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS

1.63

Falkenbergs FF

1.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Falkenbergs FF+0.00on par

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

Falkenbergs FF →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

41%59%4.5

23%77%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw

63%

Landskrona BoIS or Falkenbergs FF

77%

Draw or Falkenbergs FF

60%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

20%

Falkenbergs FF wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

81%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

50%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

23%

Falkenbergs FF 1+ goals

80%

Falkenbergs FF 2+ goals

48%

Falkenbergs FF 3+ goals

22%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

52%

Falkenbergs FF (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 2.13, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Falkenbergs FF away — creates 1.60, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 2.13 + Falkenbergs FF defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.67

Falkenbergs FF attack 1.60 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.61

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more

40%

level

23%

Falkenbergs FF scores more

37%

Landskrona BoIS at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

8'

17'

21'

28'

60'

63'

Landskrona

Falkenbergs

Manager: Robin Asterhed

Manager: Christoffer Andersson