L'Escala 0–0 Prat: Result & Stats

L'Escala

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Prat

4/13/2025

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 30Estadi Municipal

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

L'Escala46%

×Draw25%

Prat28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

L'EscalaExpected goals in this matchPrat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.54

1.14

L'Escala

1.54

Prat

1.14

L'Escala creates 35% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 34 away

1.80

creates per match

1.00

1.27

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

L'Escala

1.80

Prat

1.00

allows per match

L'Escala

1.27

Prat

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

L'Escala+0.00on par

Prat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

L'Escala ↓

Prat →

0–07%

0–18%

0–24%

0–32%

0–40%

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

L'Escala or draw

72%

L'Escala or Prat

75%

Draw or Prat

54%

Winning margin

L'Escala wins by 2+

23%

Prat wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

L'Escala 1+ goals

79%

L'Escala 2+ goals

45%

L'Escala 3+ goals

20%

Prat 1+ goals

68%

Prat 2+ goals

32%

Prat 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

L'Escala (draw refunded)

62%

Prat (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

L'Escala at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.27 · 51 matches

Prat away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.29 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

L'Escala attack 1.80 + Prat defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.54

Prat attack 1.00 + L'Escala defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 46%?"

L'Escala scores more

46%

level

25%

Prat scores more

28%

L'Escala at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "L'Escala will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

65'

Hugo Yañez← Manel Montoya

65'

Marco Gil← Xavi Germán

69'

Moli← Héctor Rodríguez

69'

David Adan← Javier García

74'

Pouget← Marc Gelmà

84'

Lamelas← Miguel Fernández

89'

David Ruano← Josu Currais

89'

Joel Bona← Guillem Corominas

89'

A. Amhot← Julen Álvarez

L'Escala

Prat

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Raul Paje

65'▲Hugo Yañez←▼Manel Montoya

65'▲Marco Gil←▼Xavi Germán

74'▲Pouget←▼Marc Gelmà

89'▲David Ruano←▼Josu Currais

L'Escala substitutes

YañezGilPougetRuano

Manager: Miguel Ángel Motoso

69'▲Moli←▼Héctor Rodríguez

69'▲David Adan←▼Javier García

84'▲Lamelas←▼Miguel Fernández

89'▲Joel Bona←▼Guillem Corominas

89'▲A. Amhot←▼Julen Álvarez

Prat substitutes

MoliAdanLamelasBonaAmhot

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5: L'Escala 0–0 Prat

L'Escala and Prat drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on April 13, 2025.

The match was played at Estadi Municipal in L'Escala.

L'Escala vs Prat — Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5: L'Escala 0–0 Prat