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ŁKS Łódź vs Tychy 71 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

ŁKS Łódź
ŁKS Łódź
FT
0 – 0
Tychy 71
Tychy 71
2/8/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

ŁKS Łódź41%
×Draw24%
Tychy 7136%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Tychy 71
1.51

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 11 home / 7 away

creates per match

ŁKS Łódź
1.82
Tychy 71
1.57

allows per match

ŁKS Łódź
1.45
Tychy 71
1.43

finishing

ŁKS Łódź+0.00on par
Tychy 71+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ŁKS Łódź ↓

Tychy 71 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

ŁKS Łódź or draw
64%
ŁKS Łódź or Tychy 71
76%
Draw or Tychy 71
59%

Winning margin

ŁKS Łódź wins by 2+
21%
Tychy 71 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

ŁKS Łódź 1+ goals
80%
ŁKS Łódź 2+ goals
48%
ŁKS Łódź 3+ goals
22%
Tychy 71 1+ goals
78%
Tychy 71 2+ goals
44%
Tychy 71 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

ŁKS Łódź (draw refunded)
53%
Tychy 71 (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ŁKS Łódź at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.45 · 11 matches

Tychy 71 away — creates 1.57, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ŁKS Łódź attack 1.82 + Tychy 71 defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.63

Tychy 71 attack 1.57 + ŁKS Łódź defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

ŁKS Łódź scores more
41%
level
24%
Tychy 71 scores more
36%

ŁKS Łódź at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "ŁKS Łódź will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: ŁKS Łódź 0–0 Tychy 71

ŁKS Łódź and Tychy 71 drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 8, 2025.