Kristiansund BK 1–1 KFUM Oslo: Result & Stats

Kristiansund BK

FT

1 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

KFUM Oslo

O. Sivertsen 45' (pen)

H. Hoseth 45+2'

4/7/2024

Eliteserien · Round 2Nordmøre stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 21+ matches

Kristiansund BK32%

×Draw26%

KFUM Oslo42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Kristiansund BKExpected goals in this matchKFUM Oslo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.40

Kristiansund BK

1.19

KFUM Oslo

1.40

KFUM Oslo creates 18% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 21 away

1.28

creates per match

1.10

1.70

allows per match

1.09

creates per match

Kristiansund BK

1.28

KFUM Oslo

1.10

allows per match

Kristiansund BK

1.70

KFUM Oslo

1.09

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.19scores more than expected

finishing

Kristiansund BK+0.00on par

KFUM Oslo+0.19scores more

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kristiansund BK ↓

KFUM Oslo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Kristiansund BK or draw

58%

Kristiansund BK or KFUM Oslo

74%

Draw or KFUM Oslo

68%

Winning margin

Kristiansund BK wins by 2+

13%

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

Kristiansund BK 1+ goals

70%

Kristiansund BK 2+ goals

33%

Kristiansund BK 3+ goals

12%

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

75%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

41%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)

43%

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kristiansund BK at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.70 · 25 matches

KFUM Oslo away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.09 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kristiansund BK attack 1.28 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.19

KFUM Oslo attack 1.10 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Kristiansund BK scores more

32%

level

26%

KFUM Oslo scores more

42%

KFUM Oslo at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

14

H. Hoseth

KFUM Oslo · M

8.3

Match Events

44'

Akinsola Akinyemi

45'

O. SivertsenPenalty

45+2'

47'

55'

56'

61'

P. Guèye← H. Mikaelsson

70'

S. Sandal← R. Svindland

70'

J. Nuñez← M. Ndiaye

74'

F. Nyenetue← R. Alte

75'

J. Isaksen← H. Bruseth

78'

Petter Nosakhare Dahl

85'

Moussa Njie← P. Dahl

89'

W. Igor← H. Sjåtil

89'

H. Haugen← O. Sivertsen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KristiansundKFUM

Overview

50%Possession50%

7Total Shots9

3Corners6

10Fouls11

Shots

7Total Shots9

3On Target5

3Off Target4

1Blocked0

4Inside Box5

3Outside Box4

Passing

50%Possession50%

472Total Passes470

396Accurate Passes394

84%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

Discipline

10Fouls11

1Yellow Cards3

3Offsides1

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 1–1 KFUM Oslo

Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo drew 1-1 in Eliteserien on April 7, 2024.

Goals: O. Sivertsen (45' pen), H. Hoseth (45+2').

Kristiansund BK controlled possession (50%) and registered 7 shots to 9.

The match was played at Nordmøre stadion in Kristiansund.

Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 1–1 KFUM Oslo