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Kosmonosy vs Benátky nad Jizerou — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Kosmonosy
Kosmonosy
CANC
11:00
Benátky nad Jizerou
Benátky nad Jizerou
1/22/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Kosmonosy40%
×Draw20%
Benátky nad Jizerou40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kosmonosy
2.10
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.10

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

Kosmonosy
1.60
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00

allows per match

Kosmonosy
2.20
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.60

finishing

Kosmonosy+0.00on par
Benátky nad Jizerou+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kosmonosy ↓

Benátky nad Jizerou →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Kosmonosy or draw
60%
Kosmonosy or Benátky nad Jizerou
80%
Draw or Benátky nad Jizerou
60%

Winning margin

Kosmonosy wins by 2+
22%
Benátky nad Jizerou wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Kosmonosy 1+ goals
88%
Kosmonosy 2+ goals
62%
Kosmonosy 3+ goals
35%
Benátky nad Jizerou 1+ goals
88%
Benátky nad Jizerou 2+ goals
62%
Benátky nad Jizerou 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Kosmonosy (draw refunded)
50%
Benátky nad Jizerou (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kosmonosy at home — creates 1.60, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

Benátky nad Jizerou away — creates 2.00, concedes 2.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kosmonosy attack 1.60 + Benátky nad Jizerou defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 2.10

Benátky nad Jizerou attack 2.00 + Kosmonosy defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 2.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Kosmonosy scores more
40%
level
20%
Benátky nad Jizerou scores more
40%

Kosmonosy at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Kosmonosy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Kosmonosy face Benátky nad Jizerou (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Kosmonosy hosting Benátky nad Jizerou. Match starts January 22, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.