KFUM Oslo 0–0 Molde: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Molde

8/17/2025

Eliteserien · Round 18KFUM Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 22+ matches

KFUM Oslo42%

×Draw26%

Molde31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchMolde

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.17

KFUM Oslo

1.40

Molde

1.17

KFUM Oslo creates 20% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 24 away

1.44

creates per match

1.32

1.01

allows per match

1.36

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.44

Molde

1.32

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.01

Molde

1.36

-0.21scores less than expected

finishing

-0.03on par

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.21scores less

Molde-0.03on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Molde →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

47%53%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

69%

KFUM Oslo or Molde

74%

Draw or Molde

58%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

20%

Molde wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

75%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

41%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

17%

Molde 1+ goals

69%

Molde 2+ goals

33%

Molde 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

57%

Molde (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.01 · 22 matches

Molde away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.36 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.44 + Molde defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.40

Molde attack 1.32 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

42%

level

26%

Molde scores more

31%

KFUM Oslo at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

15

M. Tonnessen

KFUM Oslo · D

7.9

Match Events

32'

Emil BreivikGoal cancelled

40'

49'

61'

61'

61'

J. Abdullai← F. Gulbrandsen

61'

M. Kaasa← M. Eikrem

62'

H. Stenevik← E. Hestad

68'

T. Haltvik← M. Njie

70'

O. Spiten-Nysaeter← C. Zady

80'

M. Njie← F. Berglie

80'

B. Kristensen← D. Hickson

83'

84'

90+7'

90'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KFUMMolde

Overview

43%Possession57%

17Total Shots3

2.16Expected Goals (xG)0.09

7Corners2

16Fouls9

Shots

17Total Shots3

5On Target0

9Off Target1

3Blocked2

14Inside Box0

3Outside Box3

Passing

43%Possession57%

416Total Passes577

364Accurate Passes507

88%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

Discipline

16Fouls9

3Yellow Cards2

0Offsides3

Eliteserien: KFUM Oslo 0–0 Molde

KFUM Oslo and Molde drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on August 17, 2025.

Molde controlled possession (57%) and registered 3 shots to 17.

The match was played at KFUM Arena in Oslo.

KFUM Oslo vs Molde — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: KFUM Oslo 0–0 Molde