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KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK — Eliteserien 2026

KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Preview
15:00
Kristiansund BK
Kristiansund BK
8/2/2026EliteserienEliteserien · Round 16KFUM Arena
Big match
52%
KFUM Oslo
model favours
52%24%24%

Kristiansund BK score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 31+ matches

KFUM Oslo52%
×Draw24%
Kristiansund BK24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

KFUM Oslo
1.69
Kristiansund BK
1.06

KFUM Oslo creates 59% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 31 away

creates per match

KFUM Oslo
1.41
Kristiansund BK
1.07

allows per match

KFUM Oslo
1.05
Kristiansund BK
1.97

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.08on par
Kristiansund BK-0.07on par

Total goals

Over: 52Under: 4852%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes: 53No: 4753%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Kristiansund BK →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw
76%
KFUM Oslo or Kristiansund BK
76%
Draw or Kristiansund BK
48%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+
28%
Kristiansund BK wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals
82%
KFUM Oslo 2+ goals
50%
KFUM Oslo 3+ goals
24%
Kristiansund BK 1+ goals
65%
Kristiansund BK 2+ goals
29%
Kristiansund BK 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)
69%
Kristiansund BK (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.05 · 33 matches

Kristiansund BK away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.41 + Kristiansund BK defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.69

Kristiansund BK attack 1.07 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more
52%
level
24%
Kristiansund BK scores more
24%

KFUM Oslo at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • KFUM Oslo score first in only 23% of matches
  • Kristiansund BK win just 18% of their away games
  • Style contrast — KFUM Oslo play Defensively solid, Kristiansund BK Direct / counter-attacking

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
KFUM Oslo
Defensively solid
Kristiansund BK
Direct / counter-attacking
49%Possession44%
79%Pass accuracy76%
10.4ShotsBiggest gap12.2
1.27xG1.17
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
KFUM OsloKristiansund BK

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

3
KFUM Oslo
2
Draws
1
Kristiansund BK
Avg goals: 2.7BTTS: 50%
1–15–01–21–12–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Oslo
LLLLD
BK
LDLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK — Match Preview

KFUM Oslo face Kristiansund BK on August 2, 2026 in this Eliteserien fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

KFUM Oslo host Kristiansund BK at KFUM Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.