KFUM Oslo 1–1 Bryne: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Bryne

J. Haahr 79' (OG)

A. Kryger 53' (pen)

7/6/2025

Eliteserien · Round 12KFUM Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 10+ matches

KFUM Oslo52%

×Draw25%

Bryne23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

KFUM OsloExpected goals in this matchBryne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

0.97

KFUM Oslo

1.59

Bryne

0.97

KFUM Oslo creates 64% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 10 away

1.44

creates per match

0.94

1.01

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

KFUM Oslo

1.44

Bryne

0.94

allows per match

KFUM Oslo

1.01

Bryne

1.75

-0.21scores less than expected

finishing

+0.16scores more than expected

finishing

KFUM Oslo-0.21scores less

Bryne+0.16scores more

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

KFUM Oslo ↓

Bryne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

KFUM Oslo or draw

77%

KFUM Oslo or Bryne

75%

Draw or Bryne

48%

Winning margin

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

27%

Bryne wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

80%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

47%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

21%

Bryne 1+ goals

62%

Bryne 2+ goals

25%

Bryne 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

69%

Bryne (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

KFUM Oslo at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.01 · 22 matches

Bryne away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.75 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

KFUM Oslo attack 1.44 + Bryne defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.59

Bryne attack 0.94 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

KFUM Oslo scores more

52%

level

25%

Bryne scores more

23%

KFUM Oslo at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

S. Sandal

KFUM Oslo · M

7.9

Match Events

-5'

Momodou Lion Njie

46'

B. Kristensen← J. Prent-Eckbo

53'

A. KrygerPenalty

65'

Jan de Boer

65'

Jan de BoerCard upgrade

67'

M. Ndiaye← S. Hestnes

67'

A. Cajtoft← M. Thornes

67'

A. Scriven← L. Qvigstad

67'

D. Gaye← H. Larsen

77'

T. Haltvik← A. Aleesami

79'

J. HaahrOwn goal

80'

S. Norheim← D. Moreira

84'

David Hickson Gyedu

88'

A. Nouri← D. Hickson

89'

J. Tveita← E. Saunes

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

KFUMBryne

Overview

69%Possession31%

14Total Shots7

1.70Expected Goals (xG)1.02

7Corners2

12Fouls4

Shots

14Total Shots7

3On Target3

7Off Target3

4Blocked1

9Inside Box3

5Outside Box4

Passing

69%Possession31%

641Total Passes300

578Accurate Passes211

90%Pass Accuracy70%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

Discipline

12Fouls4

2Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards1

1Offsides0