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Bryne vs KFUM Oslo — Eliteserien 2026

Bryne
Bryne
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
8/10/2025EliteserienEliteserien · Round 17Bryne Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Bryne42%
×Draw26%
KFUM Oslo32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bryne
1.40
KFUM Oslo
1.20

Bryne creates 17% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 20 away

creates per match

Bryne
1.71
KFUM Oslo
1.10

allows per match

Bryne
1.30
KFUM Oslo
1.08

finishing

Bryne-0.26scores less
KFUM Oslo+0.20scores more

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bryne ↓

KFUM Oslo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Bryne or draw
68%
Bryne or KFUM Oslo
74%
Draw or KFUM Oslo
58%

Winning margin

Bryne wins by 2+
20%
KFUM Oslo wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Bryne 1+ goals
75%
Bryne 2+ goals
41%
Bryne 3+ goals
17%
KFUM Oslo 1+ goals
70%
KFUM Oslo 2+ goals
34%
KFUM Oslo 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Bryne (draw refunded)
56%
KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bryne at home — creates 1.71, concedes 1.30 · 11 matches

KFUM Oslo away — creates 1.10, concedes 1.08 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bryne attack 1.71 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.40

KFUM Oslo attack 1.10 + Bryne defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Bryne scores more
42%
level
26%
KFUM Oslo scores more
32%

Bryne at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Bryne will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

5
F. BerglieKFUM OsloKFUM Oslo · D
7.5

Match Events

27'
Sverre Hakami Sandal
34'
Jacob Haahr
63'
M. Njie← B. Kristensen
76'
Ayoub Aleesami
76'
M. Ndiaye← D. Hickson
83'
D. Schneider← A. Nouri
85'
S. Bojadzic← M. Thornes
90+2'
C. Landu-Landu← L. Sodal
90+2'
R. Undheim← D. Moreira
90'
K. Haland← A. Scriven

Possession

45%Bryne

Shots

5Bryne

Pass accuracy

49%Bryne

Statistics

BryneKFUM
Overview
45%Possession55%
5Total Shots5
0.78Expected Goals (xG)0.48
2Corners2
14Fouls9
Shots
5Total Shots5
2On Target2
2Off Target1
1Blocked2
2Inside Box2
3Outside Box3
Passing
45%Possession55%
451Total Passes551
342Accurate Passes441
76%Pass Accuracy80%
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
Discipline
14Fouls9
1Yellow Cards2
3Offsides1

Match Recap: Bryne vs KFUM Oslo

Bryne and KFUM Oslo drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on August 10, 2025.

KFUM Oslo controlled possession (55%) and registered 5 shots to 5.

The match was played at Bryne Stadion in Bryne.