Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Kasetsart FC vs Pattani — Thai League 2 2018

Kasetsart FC
Kasetsart FC
FT
1 – 3
HT: 1 – 0
Pattani
Pattani
2/15/2026Thai League 2Thai League 2 · Round 24Insee Chantarasatit Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Kasetsart FC39%
×Draw26%
Pattani35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Kasetsart FC
1.35
Pattani
1.27

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 133 home / 19 away

creates per match

Kasetsart FC
1.32
Pattani
1.32

allows per match

Kasetsart FC
1.21
Pattani
1.37

finishing

Kasetsart FC+0.00on par
Pattani+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Kasetsart FC ↓

Pattani →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Kasetsart FC or draw
65%
Kasetsart FC or Pattani
74%
Draw or Pattani
61%

Winning margin

Kasetsart FC wins by 2+
18%
Pattani wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Kasetsart FC 1+ goals
74%
Kasetsart FC 2+ goals
39%
Kasetsart FC 3+ goals
15%
Pattani 1+ goals
72%
Pattani 2+ goals
36%
Pattani 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Kasetsart FC (draw refunded)
53%
Pattani (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Kasetsart FC at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.21 · 133 matches

Pattani away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.37 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Kasetsart FC attack 1.32 + Pattani defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.35

Pattani attack 1.32 + Kasetsart FC defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Kasetsart FC scores more
39%
level
26%
Pattani scores more
35%

Kasetsart FC at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Kasetsart FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Kasetsart FC vs Pattani

Pattani beat Kasetsart FC 3-1 in Thai League 2 on February 15, 2026.

The match was played at Insee Chantarasatit Stadium.