Juve Stabia 0–0 Sampdoria: Result & Stats | Serie B

Juve Stabia

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sampdoria

5/13/2025

Serie B · Round 34Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 58+ matches

Juve Stabia46%

×Draw26%

Sampdoria28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Juve StabiaExpected goals in this matchSampdoria

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.11

Juve Stabia

1.48

Sampdoria

1.11

Juve Stabia creates 33% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 58 away

1.42

creates per match

1.14

1.08

allows per match

1.53

creates per match

Juve Stabia

1.42

Sampdoria

1.14

allows per match

Juve Stabia

1.08

Sampdoria

1.53

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Juve Stabia+0.00on par

Sampdoria+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Juve Stabia ↓

Sampdoria →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Juve Stabia or draw

72%

Juve Stabia or Sampdoria

74%

Draw or Sampdoria

54%

Winning margin

Juve Stabia wins by 2+

23%

Sampdoria wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Juve Stabia 1+ goals

77%

Juve Stabia 2+ goals

43%

Juve Stabia 3+ goals

19%

Sampdoria 1+ goals

67%

Sampdoria 2+ goals

30%

Sampdoria 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Juve Stabia (draw refunded)

62%

Sampdoria (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Juve Stabia at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.08 · 60 matches

Sampdoria away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.53 · 58 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Juve Stabia attack 1.42 + Sampdoria defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.48

Sampdoria attack 1.14 + Juve Stabia defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Juve Stabia scores more

46%

level

26%

Sampdoria scores more

28%

Juve Stabia at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Juve Stabia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20

D. Thiam

Juve Stabia · G

8.5

Match Events

-5'

7'

16'

29'

46'

P. Beruatto← N. Ioannou

46'

M. Coda← R. Oudin

60'

Marco Bellich

61'

E. Akinsanmiro← G. Sibilli

77'

P. Peda← M. Bellich

77'

C. Andreoni← R. Floriani Mussolini

82'

F. Abiuso← M. Curto

86'

F. Maistro← A. Adorante

86'

M. Meli← G. Leone

90+2'

D. Quaranta← K. Piscopo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

JuveSampdoria

Overview

53%Possession47%

12Total Shots13

7Corners4

16Fouls21

Shots

12Total Shots13

0On Target5

4Off Target4

8Blocked4

9Inside Box8

3Outside Box5

Passing

53%Possession47%

359Total Passes314

275Accurate Passes208

77%Pass Accuracy66%

Goalkeeping

5Saves0

Discipline

16Fouls21

2Yellow Cards2

1Offsides1