JS Saoura 0–0 RC Arba: Result & Stats | Ligue 1

JS Saoura

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

RC Arba

2/5/2022

Ligue 1 · Round 17Stade du 20 Août 1955

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

JS Saoura60%

×Draw24%

RC Arba16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

JS SaouraExpected goals in this matchRC Arba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

0.72

JS Saoura

1.67

RC Arba

0.72

JS Saoura creates 132% more chances

Season form · 108 home / 32 away

1.78

creates per match

0.81

0.63

allows per match

1.56

creates per match

JS Saoura

1.78

RC Arba

0.81

allows per match

JS Saoura

0.63

RC Arba

1.56

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

JS Saoura+0.00on par

RC Arba+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

JS Saoura ↓

RC Arba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–17%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–111%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–15%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

JS Saoura or draw

84%

JS Saoura or RC Arba

76%

Draw or RC Arba

40%

Winning margin

JS Saoura wins by 2+

34%

RC Arba wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

JS Saoura 1+ goals

81%

JS Saoura 2+ goals

50%

JS Saoura 3+ goals

23%

RC Arba 1+ goals

51%

RC Arba 2+ goals

16%

RC Arba 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

JS Saoura (draw refunded)

79%

RC Arba (draw refunded)

21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

JS Saoura at home — creates 1.78, concedes 0.63 · 108 matches

RC Arba away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.56 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

JS Saoura attack 1.78 + RC Arba defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.67

RC Arba attack 0.81 + JS Saoura defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

JS Saoura scores more

60%

level

24%

RC Arba scores more

16%

JS Saoura at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "JS Saoura will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

63'

O. Bellatreche← A. Saâd

67'

H. Diafi← M. Boubakour

67'

O. Kismoun← Z. Toumi Sief

70'

I. Saâdi← B. Hamidi

83'

M. Ouis← B. Mellel

JS

RC

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: K. Yakoubi

63'▲O. Bellatreche←▼A. Saâd

70'▲I. Saâdi←▼B. Hamidi

83'▲M. Ouis←▼B. Mellel

JS Saoura substitutes

BellatrecheSaâdiOuis

Manager: S. Messaoud

67'▲H. Diafi←▼M. Boubakour

67'▲O. Kismoun←▼Z. Toumi Sief

RC Arba substitutes

DiafiKismoun

Ligue 1: JS Saoura 0–0 RC Arba

JS Saoura and RC Arba drew 0-0 in Ligue 1 on February 5, 2022.

The match was played at Stade du 20 Août 1955 in Bechar.

JS Saoura vs RC Arba — Ligue 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Ligue 1: JS Saoura 0–0 RC Arba