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Jammerbugt vs Vendsyssel FF — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Jammerbugt
Jammerbugt
CANC
16:30
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
1/21/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Jetsmark kunstgræsbane

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Jammerbugt63%
×Draw19%
Vendsyssel FF17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Jammerbugt
2.27
Vendsyssel FF
1.10

Jammerbugt creates 106% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 8 away

creates per match

Jammerbugt
3.67
Vendsyssel FF
1.88

allows per match

Jammerbugt
0.33
Vendsyssel FF
0.88

finishing

Jammerbugt+0.00on par
Vendsyssel FF+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Jammerbugt ↓

Vendsyssel FF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Jammerbugt or draw
83%
Jammerbugt or Vendsyssel FF
81%
Draw or Vendsyssel FF
37%

Winning margin

Jammerbugt wins by 2+
41%
Vendsyssel FF wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Jammerbugt 1+ goals
90%
Jammerbugt 2+ goals
66%
Jammerbugt 3+ goals
39%
Vendsyssel FF 1+ goals
67%
Vendsyssel FF 2+ goals
30%
Vendsyssel FF 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Jammerbugt (draw refunded)
79%
Vendsyssel FF (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Jammerbugt at home — creates 3.67, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Vendsyssel FF away — creates 1.88, concedes 0.88 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Jammerbugt attack 3.67 + Vendsyssel FF defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 2.27

Vendsyssel FF attack 1.88 + Jammerbugt defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Jammerbugt scores more
63%
level
19%
Vendsyssel FF scores more
17%

Jammerbugt at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Jammerbugt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Jammerbugt face Vendsyssel FF (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Jammerbugt hosting Vendsyssel FF. Match starts January 21, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Jammerbugt host Vendsyssel FF at Jetsmark kunstgræsbane.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.