Inhulets 0–0 Veres Rivne: Result & Stats

Inhulets

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Veres Rivne

3/28/2025

Premier League · Round 22Stadion Hirnyk

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Inhulets38%

×Draw30%

Veres Rivne32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

InhuletsExpected goals in this matchVeres Rivne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.09

0.98

Inhulets

1.09

Veres Rivne

0.98

Inhulets creates 11% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 71 away

0.73

creates per match

0.83

1.12

allows per match

1.46

creates per match

Inhulets

0.73

Veres Rivne

0.83

allows per match

Inhulets

1.12

Veres Rivne

1.46

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Inhulets+0.00on par

Veres Rivne+0.00on par

Total goals

Under66
Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Inhulets ↓

Veres Rivne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–112%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–17%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

61%39%2.5

34%66%3.5

16%84%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Inhulets or draw

68%

Inhulets or Veres Rivne

70%

Draw or Veres Rivne

62%

Winning margin

Inhulets wins by 2+

15%

Veres Rivne wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Inhulets 1+ goals

66%

Inhulets 2+ goals

30%

Inhulets 3+ goals

10%

Veres Rivne 1+ goals

62%

Veres Rivne 2+ goals

26%

Veres Rivne 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Inhulets (draw refunded)

54%

Veres Rivne (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

28%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Inhulets at home — creates 0.73, concedes 1.12 · 52 matches

Veres Rivne away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.46 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Inhulets attack 0.73 + Veres Rivne defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.09

Veres Rivne attack 0.83 + Inhulets defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Inhulets scores more

38%

level

30%

Veres Rivne scores more

32%

Inhulets at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Inhulets will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12

O. Palamarchuk

Inhulets · G

8.0

Match Events

23'

Roman Volokhatyi

27'

M. Protasevych← G. Kutsia

67'

N. Popov← S. Kyslenko

68'

Ivan Losenko

69'

D. Kliots← V. Kucherov

69'

M. Smiian← V. Sharai

78'

I. Hadzhuk← I. Losenko

78'

B. Mohylnyi← V. Sad

83'

D. Hodia← R. Stepaniuk

89'

A. Benediuk← V. Dubilei

89'

M. Skorokhod← O. Piatov

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

InhuletsVeres

Overview

55%Possession45%

3Total Shots14

0.68Expected Goals (xG)1.03

2Corners4

12Fouls9

Shots

3Total Shots14

0On Target4

2Off Target7

1Blocked3

2Inside Box6

1Outside Box8

Passing

55%Possession45%

368Total Passes345

301Accurate Passes256

82%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

4Saves0

Discipline

12Fouls9

2Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards0

1Offsides1