Independiente 0–0 Huracan: Result & Stats

Independiente

Pens

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Huracan

5/24/2025

Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - Semi-finalsEstadio Libertadores de América

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Independiente41%

×Draw33%

Huracan27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

IndependienteExpected goals in this matchHuracan

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.02

0.76

Independiente

1.02

Huracan

0.76

Independiente creates 34% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 16 away

1.03

creates per match

0.84

0.69

allows per match

1.01

creates per match

Independiente

1.03

Huracan

0.84

allows per match

Independiente

0.69

Huracan

1.01

+0.17scores more than expected

finishing

+0.10scores more than expected

finishing

Independiente+0.17scores more

Huracan+0.10scores more

Total goals

Under74
Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No66
Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Independiente ↓

Huracan →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–017%

0–113%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (17%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

83%17%1.5

53%47%2.5

26%74%3.5

11%89%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

Independiente or draw

73%

Independiente or Huracan

67%

Draw or Huracan

59%

Winning margin

Independiente wins by 2+

16%

Huracan wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Independiente 1+ goals

64%

Independiente 2+ goals

27%

Independiente 3+ goals

8%

Huracan 1+ goals

53%

Huracan 2+ goals

18%

Huracan 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Independiente (draw refunded)

61%

Huracan (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Independiente at home — creates 1.03, concedes 0.69 · 15 matches

Huracan away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.01 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Independiente attack 1.03 + Huracan defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 1.02

Huracan attack 0.84 + Independiente defence 0.69 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Independiente scores more

41%

level

33%

Huracan scores more

27%

Independiente at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Independiente will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

33

R. Rey

Independiente · G

7.9

Match Events

19'

Marco Pellegrino

25'

Diego Tarzia

62'

Iván Marcone

63'

S. Hidalgo← D. Tarzia

64'

L. Sequeira← E. Ramirez

77'

G. Alanis← A. Urzi

81'

L. Millan← L. Cabral

81'

Rodrigo Fernandez← I. Marcone

87'

P. Galdames← F. Vera

87'

G. Avalos← M. Gimenez

89'

Santiago Montiel

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

IndependienteHuracan

Overview

65%Possession35%

9Total Shots9

7Corners9

21Fouls18

Shots

9Total Shots9

3On Target6

4Off Target3

2Blocked0

5Inside Box5

4Outside Box4

Passing

65%Possession35%

362Total Passes186

289Accurate Passes125

80%Pass Accuracy67%

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

Discipline

21Fouls18

3Yellow Cards1

0Offsides2

Liga Profesional Argentina: Independiente 0–0 Huracan

Independiente and Huracan drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on May 24, 2025.

Independiente controlled possession (65%) and registered 9 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Libertadores de América in Avellaneda.

Independiente vs Huracan — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina: Independiente 0–0 Huracan