Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

IFK Norrkoping vs IF Brommapojkarna — Allsvenskan 2026

IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
A. Traustason 45+1'
T. Bergvall 19'
10/21/2024AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 27PlatinumCars Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 18+ matches

IFK Norrkoping39%
×Draw25%
IF Brommapojkarna36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IFK Norrkoping
1.47
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 18 home / 27 away

creates per match

IFK Norrkoping
1.52
IF Brommapojkarna
1.35

allows per match

IFK Norrkoping
1.48
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42

finishing

IFK Norrkoping-0.13scores less
IF Brommapojkarna+0.13scores more

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IFK Norrkoping ↓

IF Brommapojkarna →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

IFK Norrkoping or draw
64%
IFK Norrkoping or IF Brommapojkarna
75%
Draw or IF Brommapojkarna
61%

Winning margin

IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+
18%
IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals
77%
IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals
43%
IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals
18%
IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals
76%
IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals
41%
IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)
51%
IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IFK Norrkoping at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.48 · 18 matches

IF Brommapojkarna away — creates 1.35, concedes 1.42 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IFK Norrkoping attack 1.52 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.47

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.35 + IFK Norrkoping defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

IFK Norrkoping scores more
39%
level
25%
IF Brommapojkarna scores more
36%

IFK Norrkoping at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "IFK Norrkoping will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

23
D. Moberg KarlssonIFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping · M
7.9

Match Events

19'
T. Bergvall↳ N. Vasić
45+1'
A. Traustason↳ D. Moberg Karlsson
61'
M. Vetkal← A. Calisir
63'
L. Shabani← D. Moberg Karlsson
71'
E. Björkander← T. Bergvall
74'
V. Hammershøy-Mistrati← J. Ortmark
75'
Christoffer Nyman
86'
Eric Björkander
90+1'
Jesper Ceesay
90+1'
T. Prica← M. Neffati
90+1'
P. Pichkah← W. Odefalk

Possession

51%IFK

Shots

12IFK

Pass accuracy

51%IFK

Statistics

IFKIF
Overview
51%Possession49%
12Total Shots9
1.18Expected Goals (xG)0.88
2Corners7
17Fouls12
Shots
12Total Shots9
2On Target2
8Off Target5
2Blocked2
9Inside Box6
3Outside Box3
Passing
51%Possession49%
520Total Passes526
472Accurate Passes462
91%Pass Accuracy88%
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
Discipline
17Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
1Offsides2

Allsvenskan: IFK Norrkoping 1–1 IF Brommapojkarna

IFK Norrkoping and IF Brommapojkarna drew 1-1 in Allsvenskan on October 21, 2024.

Goals: T. Bergvall (19'), A. Traustason (45+1').

IFK Norrkoping controlled possession (51%) and registered 12 shots to 9.

The match was played at PlatinumCars Arena in Norrköping.