IFK Goteborg vs Vasby United — Allsvenskan 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 21+ matches
IFK Goteborg56%
Vasby United20%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
IFK Goteborg creates 86% more chances
Season form · 127 home / 21 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under52
- Over48
Close call
Both teams score
- No51
- Yes49
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
IFK Goteborg ↓
Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
IFK Goteborg at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.20 · 127 matches
Vasby United away — creates 0.62, concedes 2.10 · 21 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
IFK Goteborg attack 1.28 + Vasby United defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.69
Vasby United attack 0.62 + IFK Goteborg defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 0.91
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 56%?"
IFK Goteborg at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 56% does not mean "IFK Goteborg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Player of the match
Match Events
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Kalmar FFIFK Goteborg
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
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Dalkurd FFIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
IFK Goteborg host Vasby United on Monday, 17 April 2017 at 15:30. The match is part of the Allsvenskan 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: IFK Goteborg vs Vasby United
IFK Goteborg and Vasby United drew 1-1 in Allsvenskan on April 17, 2017.
Goals: T. Hysén (52'), M. Buya Turay (64').
IFK Goteborg controlled possession (65%) and registered 14 shots to 9.
The match was played at Gamla Ullevi in Gothenburg.