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IFK Goteborg vs IF Brommapojkarna — Allsvenskan 2026

IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
Preview
17:00
IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna
7/17/2026AllsvenskanAllsvenskan · Round 13Gamla Ullevi
Big match
36%
IFK Goteborg
model favours
36%27%36%

69% of IFK Goteborg’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

IFK Goteborg36%
×Draw27%
IF Brommapojkarna36%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

IFK Goteborg
1.23
IF Brommapojkarna
1.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 22 home / 24 away

creates per match

IFK Goteborg
1.14
IF Brommapojkarna
1.38

allows per match

IFK Goteborg
1.09
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33

finishing

IFK Goteborg+0.00on par
IF Brommapojkarna+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

IFK Goteborg ↓

IF Brommapojkarna →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

IFK Goteborg or draw
64%
IFK Goteborg or IF Brommapojkarna
73%
Draw or IF Brommapojkarna
64%

Winning margin

IFK Goteborg wins by 2+
16%
IF Brommapojkarna wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

IFK Goteborg 1+ goals
71%
IFK Goteborg 2+ goals
35%
IFK Goteborg 3+ goals
13%
IF Brommapojkarna 1+ goals
71%
IF Brommapojkarna 2+ goals
35%
IF Brommapojkarna 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

IFK Goteborg (draw refunded)
50%
IF Brommapojkarna (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

IFK Goteborg at home — creates 1.14, concedes 1.09 · 22 matches

IF Brommapojkarna away — creates 1.38, concedes 1.33 · 24 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

IFK Goteborg attack 1.14 + IF Brommapojkarna defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.23

IF Brommapojkarna attack 1.38 + IFK Goteborg defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

IFK Goteborg scores more
36%
level
27%
IF Brommapojkarna scores more
36%

IFK Goteborg at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "IFK Goteborg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 22% of IFK Goteborg’s goals come in the first 15 minutes

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Goteborg
LLLDW
Brommapojkarna
LDLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: IFK Goteborg host IF Brommapojkarna

July 17, 2026: IFK Goteborg take on IF Brommapojkarna in Allsvenskan. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

IFK Goteborg host IF Brommapojkarna at Gamla Ullevi.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.