Huesca 1–2 Cordoba: Result & Stats

Huesca

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Cordoba

I. Alvarez 7' (OG)

C. Isaac 89'

J. Gonzalez 23'

1/12/2026

Segunda División · Round 21Estadio El Alcoraz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

Huesca50%

×Draw26%

Cordoba24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuescaExpected goals in this matchCordoba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

0.98

Huesca

1.52

Cordoba

0.98

Huesca creates 55% more chances

Season form · 129 home / 74 away

1.29

creates per match

1.04

0.91

allows per match

1.74

creates per match

Huesca

1.29

Cordoba

1.04

allows per match

Huesca

0.91

Cordoba

1.74

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huesca+0.00on par

Cordoba+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huesca ↓

Cordoba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Huesca or draw

76%

Huesca or Cordoba

74%

Draw or Cordoba

50%

Winning margin

Huesca wins by 2+

25%

Cordoba wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Huesca 1+ goals

78%

Huesca 2+ goals

45%

Huesca 3+ goals

20%

Cordoba 1+ goals

62%

Cordoba 2+ goals

26%

Cordoba 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Huesca (draw refunded)

67%

Cordoba (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huesca at home — creates 1.29, concedes 0.91 · 129 matches

Cordoba away — creates 1.04, concedes 1.74 · 74 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huesca attack 1.29 + Cordoba defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.52

Cordoba attack 1.04 + Huesca defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Huesca scores more

50%

level

26%

Cordoba scores more

24%

Huesca at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Huesca will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

C. Isaac

Cordoba · D

8.3

Match Events

7'

I. AlvarezOwn goal

22'

C. Isaac← J. Alcedo

23'

J. Gonzalez↳ C. Carracedo

45'

45+1'

58'

66'

67'

S. Guardiola← A. del Moral

69'

Julio Alonso

75'

E. Ugiagbe← A. Perez

75'

E. Rodriguez← S. Enrich

76'

D. de Almeida← P. Ortiz

76'

78'

78'

85'

85'

85'

86'

S. Arribas← F. Portillo

87'

Dani Jiménez

89'

C. Isaac

90'

Jorge Pulido

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuescaCordoba

Overview

34%Possession66%

11Total Shots14

5Corners7

14Fouls8

Shots

11Total Shots14

1On Target5

9Off Target7

1Blocked2

10Inside Box10

1Outside Box4

Passing

34%Possession66%

254Total Passes498

172Accurate Passes415

68%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

Discipline

14Fouls8

8Yellow Cards2

1Red Cards0

3Offsides0

Segunda División: Huesca 1–2 Cordoba

Cordoba beat Huesca 2-1 in Segunda División on January 12, 2026.

Goals: I. Alvarez (7' o.g.), J. Gonzalez (23'), C. Isaac (89').

Cordoba controlled possession (66%) and registered 14 shots to 11.

The match was played at Estadio El Alcoraz in Huesca.

Huesca vs Cordoba — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Segunda División: Huesca 1–2 Cordoba