Cordoba 1–1 Huesca: Result & Stats

Cordoba

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Huesca

S. Guardiola 52'

J. Escobar 86'

5/31/2026

Segunda División · Round 42Estadio Nuevo Arcángel

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Cordoba42%

×Draw26%

Huesca32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CordobaExpected goals in this matchHuesca

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

1.19

Cordoba

1.42

Huesca

1.19

Cordoba creates 19% more chances

Season form · 75 home / 130 away

1.59

creates per match

0.94

1.43

allows per match

1.24

creates per match

Cordoba

1.59

Huesca

0.94

allows per match

Cordoba

1.43

Huesca

1.24

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cordoba+0.00on par

Huesca+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cordoba ↓

Huesca →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

27%73%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Cordoba or draw

68%

Cordoba or Huesca

74%

Draw or Huesca

58%

Winning margin

Cordoba wins by 2+

20%

Huesca wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Cordoba 1+ goals

76%

Cordoba 2+ goals

41%

Cordoba 3+ goals

17%

Huesca 1+ goals

70%

Huesca 2+ goals

33%

Huesca 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Cordoba (draw refunded)

57%

Huesca (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cordoba at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.43 · 75 matches

Huesca away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.24 · 130 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cordoba attack 1.59 + Huesca defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.42

Huesca attack 0.94 + Cordoba defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Cordoba scores more

42%

level

26%

Huesca scores more

32%

Cordoba at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

11

K. Medina

Cordoba · F

8.3

Match Events

16'

Jordi Martín

34'

Daniel Requena

45+1'

Carlos Albarrán

46'

Percan← D. Bri

46'

K. Medina← A. Fuentes

46'

M. Aznar← J. Mier

52'

S. Guardiola↳ K. Medina

62'

J. Fernandez← J. Martin

63'

J. Escobar← A. Cantero

64'

Iñigo Piña

71'

T. Zidane← I. Ruiz

72'

P. Osan← D. Ojeda

76'

Jesús Álvarez

78'

J. Seoane← M. Agbekpornu

82'

J. Antras Santos← S. Guardiola

86'

J. Escobar↳ J. Seoane

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CordobaHuesca

Overview

61%Possession39%

22Total Shots13

2.65Expected Goals (xG)1.39

9Corners4

14Fouls10

Shots

22Total Shots13

4On Target6

11Off Target5

7Blocked2

19Inside Box9

3Outside Box4

Passing

61%Possession39%

452Total Passes294

397Accurate Passes237

88%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

Discipline

14Fouls10

2Yellow Cards3

1Offsides2

Match Recap: Cordoba vs Huesca

Cordoba and Huesca drew 1-1 in Segunda División on May 31, 2026.

Goals: S. Guardiola (52'), J. Escobar (86').

Cordoba controlled possession (61%) and registered 22 shots to 13.

The match was played at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel in Cordoba.

Cordoba vs Huesca — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Cordoba vs Huesca