Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Huddersfield vs Plymouth — League One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Preview
15:00
Plymouth
Plymouth
1/16/2027League OneLeague One · Round 25Accu Stadium
Big match
39%
Huddersfield
model favours
39%24%37%

Plymouth are unbeaten in 9 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Huddersfield39%
×Draw24%
Plymouth37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.58
Plymouth
1.52

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 13 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.94
Plymouth
2.00

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.04
Plymouth
1.22

finishing

Huddersfield+0.20scores more
Plymouth-0.38scores less

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Plymouth →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
63%
Huddersfield or Plymouth
76%
Draw or Plymouth
61%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
19%
Plymouth wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
79%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
47%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
21%
Plymouth 1+ goals
78%
Plymouth 2+ goals
45%
Plymouth 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
52%
Plymouth (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.04 · 14 matches

Plymouth away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.22 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.94 + Plymouth defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.58

Plymouth attack 2.00 + Huddersfield defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Huddersfield scores more
39%
level
24%
Plymouth scores more
37%

Huddersfield at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Plymouth have scored in 15 games running
  • Plymouth have won 5 in a row
  • Plymouth score first in only 28% of matches
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 5 meetings
  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 1.8 expected)
  • Their last 5 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
Plymouth
Attack-heavy
52%Possession49%
74%Pass accuracy68%
12.7Shots13.4
1.81xGBiggest gap2.12
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
HuddersfieldPlymouth

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

1
Huddersfield
1
Draws
3
Plymouth
Avg goals: 3.8BTTS: 100%
1–33–11–11–32–3

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Huddersfield
LLWLW
Plymouth
WWWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Huddersfield face Plymouth (League One)

League One returns with Huddersfield hosting Plymouth. Match starts January 16, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Huddersfield host Plymouth at Accu Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.