Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Huddersfield vs Lincoln — League One 2018

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Lincoln
Lincoln
R. Ledson 20'
R. Hardie 15'
R. Towler 90'
J. Feeney 29' (OG)
3/17/2026League OneLeague One · Round 38John Smit

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Huddersfield45%
×Draw25%
Lincoln30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Huddersfield
1.57
Lincoln
1.23

Huddersfield creates 28% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 7 away

creates per match

Huddersfield
1.94
Lincoln
1.41

allows per match

Huddersfield
1.04
Lincoln
1.21

finishing

Huddersfield+0.20scores more
Lincoln+0.45scores more

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Lincoln →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw
70%
Huddersfield or Lincoln
75%
Draw or Lincoln
55%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+
23%
Lincoln wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals
79%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
46%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
21%
Lincoln 1+ goals
71%
Lincoln 2+ goals
35%
Lincoln 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)
60%
Lincoln (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.94, concedes 1.04 · 14 matches

Lincoln away — creates 1.41, concedes 1.21 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.94 + Lincoln defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.57

Lincoln attack 1.41 + Huddersfield defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Huddersfield scores more
45%
level
25%
Lincoln scores more
30%

Huddersfield at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3
M. WallaceHuddersfieldHuddersfield · D
7.9

Match Events

15'
R. Hardie↳ A. Evans
20'
R. Ledson
29'
J. FeeneyOwn goal
40'
Josh Feeney
45+2'
Lynden Gooch
46'
T. Bayliss← A. Lloyd
53'
A. May← R. Hardie
54'
L. Sorensen← L. Gooch
61'
M. Harness← A. Evans
62'
R. Hackett-Fairchild← D. Jefferies
62'
R. One← B. House
73'
R. Towler← A. Reach
79'
Tom Bayliss
79'
M. McGuane← D. Kasumu
86'
D. Elerewe← T. Darikwa
90+7'
Cameron Humphreys
90'
Lee Nicholls
90+3'
Ryley Towler
90'
R. Towler

Possession

40%Huddersfield

Shots

8Huddersfield

Pass accuracy

45%Huddersfield

Statistics

HuddersfieldLincoln
Overview
40%Possession60%
8Total Shots18
0.92Expected Goals (xG)1.98
3Corners7
8Fouls11
Shots
8Total Shots18
2On Target7
4Off Target6
2Blocked5
5Inside Box12
3Outside Box6
Passing
40%Possession60%
285Total Passes427
169Accurate Passes308
59%Pass Accuracy72%
Goalkeeping
5Saves0
Discipline
8Fouls11
4Yellow Cards2
0Offsides1

League One: Huddersfield 2–2 Lincoln

Huddersfield and Lincoln drew 2-2 in League One on March 17, 2026.

Goals: R. Hardie (15'), R. Ledson (20'), J. Feeney (29' o.g.), R. Towler (90').

Lincoln controlled possession (60%) and registered 18 shots to 8.

The match was played at John Smit in Huddersfield.