Huddersfield 2–1 Charlton: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Charlton

D. Kasumu 63'

M. Pearson 13'

M. Godden 32' (pen)

11/23/2024

League One · Round 17John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Huddersfield41%

×Draw27%

Charlton33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchCharlton

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

1.18

Huddersfield

1.35

Charlton

1.18

Huddersfield creates 14% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 143 away

1.47

creates per match

1.22

1.14

allows per match

1.24

creates per match

Huddersfield

1.47

Charlton

1.22

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.14

Charlton

1.24

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Charlton+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

Charlton →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

67%

Huddersfield or Charlton

73%

Draw or Charlton

59%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

19%

Charlton wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

74%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

39%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

15%

Charlton 1+ goals

69%

Charlton 2+ goals

33%

Charlton 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

55%

Charlton (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.14 · 51 matches

Charlton away — creates 1.22, concedes 1.24 · 143 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.47 + Charlton defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.35

Charlton attack 1.22 + Huddersfield defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Huddersfield scores more

41%

level

27%

Charlton scores more

33%

Huddersfield at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

14

M. Miller

Huddersfield · M

7.7

Match Events

13'

M. Pearson↳ M. Miller

32'

M. Helik← M. Pearson

32'

M. GoddenPenalty

36'

Greg Docherty

45+3'

B. Radulović← R. Healey

54'

Conor Coventry

59'

Michał Helik

63'

D. Kasumu↳ H. Kane

64'

C. Marshall← B. Spencer

64'

O. Turton← J. Koroma

66'

T. Campbell← R. Edmonds-Green

74'

G. Yahyai← M. Godden

80'

L. Berry← K. Anderson

80'

D. Hylton← M. Leaburn

86'

Herbie Kane

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldCharlton

Overview

67%Possession33%

13Total Shots8

4Corners7

7Fouls13

Shots

13Total Shots8

6On Target1

6Off Target5

1Blocked2

8Inside Box6

5Outside Box2

Passing

67%Possession33%

467Total Passes221

358Accurate Passes99

77%Pass Accuracy45%

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

Discipline

7Fouls13

2Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards1

2Offsides4

Match Recap: Huddersfield vs Charlton

Huddersfield beat Charlton 2-1 in League One on November 23, 2024.

Goals: M. Pearson (13'), M. Godden (32' pen), D. Kasumu (63').

Huddersfield controlled possession (67%) and registered 13 shots to 8.

The match was played at John Smith's Stadium in Huddersfield, West Yorkshire.

Huddersfield vs Charlton — League One 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Huddersfield vs Charlton