Haugesund 0–0 Stromsgodset: Result & Stats

Haugesund

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Stromsgodset

9/15/2024

Eliteserien · Round 22Haugesund Sparebank Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 22+ matches

Haugesund47%

×Draw24%

Stromsgodset29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HaugesundExpected goals in this matchStromsgodset

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.68

1.28

Haugesund

1.68

Stromsgodset

1.28

Haugesund creates 31% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 28 away

1.19

creates per match

1.06

1.50

allows per match

2.16

creates per match

Haugesund

1.19

Stromsgodset

1.06

allows per match

Haugesund

1.50

Stromsgodset

2.16

-0.37scores less than expected

finishing

+0.23scores more than expected

finishing

Haugesund-0.37scores less

Stromsgodset+0.23scores more

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

Stromsgodset →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

57%43%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw

71%

Haugesund or Stromsgodset

76%

Draw or Stromsgodset

53%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+

25%

Stromsgodset wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals

81%

Haugesund 2+ goals

50%

Haugesund 3+ goals

24%

Stromsgodset 1+ goals

72%

Stromsgodset 2+ goals

37%

Stromsgodset 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)

62%

Stromsgodset (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 1.19, concedes 1.50 · 22 matches

Stromsgodset away — creates 1.06, concedes 2.16 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 1.19 + Stromsgodset defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 1.68

Stromsgodset attack 1.06 + Haugesund defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Haugesund scores more

47%

level

24%

Stromsgodset scores more

29%

Haugesund at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Haugesund will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

21

J. Eskesen

Haugesund · F

8.3

Match Events

53'

Anders Baertelsen

60'

S. Innvær← M. Sauer

64'

Marko Farji← E. Melkersen

73'

K. Krasniqi← E. Andersen

74'

Parfait Bizoza

76'

S. Diarra← P. Bizoza

76'

T. Nyhammer← S. Liseth

83'

A. Lúðvíksson← Bruno Leite

83'

M. Samuelsen← S. Tounekti

84'

Marko Farji

87'

Troy Nyhammer

88'

S. Westerlund← L. Tómasson

88'

S. Silalahi← L. Vilsvik

88'

B. Sørmo← M. Mehnert

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HaugesundStromsgodset

Overview

63%Possession37%

27Total Shots8

2.91Expected Goals (xG)0.78

11Corners0

11Fouls7

Shots

27Total Shots8

6On Target2

11Off Target5

10Blocked1

16Inside Box7

11Outside Box1

Passing

63%Possession37%

539Total Passes331

472Accurate Passes254

88%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

Discipline

11Fouls7

3Yellow Cards1

Eliteserien: Haugesund 0–0 Stromsgodset

Haugesund and Stromsgodset drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on September 15, 2024.

Haugesund controlled possession (63%) and registered 27 shots to 8.

The match was played at Haugesund Sparebank Arena in Haugesund.

Haugesund vs Stromsgodset — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Haugesund 0–0 Stromsgodset