Haugesund 0–2 KFUM Oslo: Result & Stats

Haugesund

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

KFUM Oslo

S. Sandal 86'

A. Aleesami 43'

7/13/2025

Eliteserien · Round 13Haugesund Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 14+ matches

Haugesund30%

×Draw28%

KFUM Oslo42%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HaugesundExpected goals in this matchKFUM Oslo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.04

1.28

Haugesund

1.04

KFUM Oslo

1.28

KFUM Oslo creates 23% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 19 away

0.99

creates per match

1.13

1.43

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

Haugesund

0.99

KFUM Oslo

1.13

allows per match

Haugesund

1.43

KFUM Oslo

1.10

+0.08on par

finishing

+0.24scores more than expected

finishing

Haugesund+0.08on par

KFUM Oslo+0.24scores more

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Haugesund ↓

KFUM Oslo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–113%

0–28%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

67%33%2.5

41%59%3.5

20%80%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Haugesund or draw

58%

Haugesund or KFUM Oslo

72%

Draw or KFUM Oslo

70%

Winning margin

Haugesund wins by 2+

11%

KFUM Oslo wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Haugesund 1+ goals

65%

Haugesund 2+ goals

28%

Haugesund 3+ goals

9%

KFUM Oslo 1+ goals

72%

KFUM Oslo 2+ goals

37%

KFUM Oslo 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Haugesund (draw refunded)

42%

KFUM Oslo (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Haugesund at home — creates 0.99, concedes 1.43 · 14 matches

KFUM Oslo away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.10 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Haugesund attack 0.99 + KFUM Oslo defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.04

KFUM Oslo attack 1.13 + Haugesund defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Haugesund scores more

30%

level

28%

KFUM Oslo scores more

42%

KFUM Oslo at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "KFUM Oslo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

S. Sandal

KFUM Oslo · M

8.5

Match Events

22'

M. Hope← C. Niyukuri

43'

A. Aleesami↳ J. Nunez

46'

B. Kristensen← J. Hjorth

58'

O. Krusnell← A. Bondhus

58'

E. Rohd← S. Innvaer

74'

S. Diarra← B. Leite

74'

A. Grindhaug← T. Nyhammer

78'

Bjorn Martin Kristensen

80'

84'

86'

90+3'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HaugesundKFUM

Overview

54%Possession46%

9Total Shots16

0.96Expected Goals (xG)1.31

3Corners11

11Fouls5

Shots

9Total Shots16

4On Target4

1Off Target6

4Blocked6

7Inside Box9

2Outside Box7

Passing

54%Possession46%

504Total Passes419

417Accurate Passes362

83%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

11Fouls5

0Yellow Cards1

1Offsides3

Eliteserien: Haugesund 0–2 KFUM Oslo

KFUM Oslo beat Haugesund 2-0 in Eliteserien on July 13, 2025.

Goals: A. Aleesami (43'), S. Sandal (86').

Haugesund controlled possession (54%) and registered 9 shots to 16.

The match was played at Haugesund Stadion in Haugesund.

Haugesund vs KFUM Oslo — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Haugesund 0–2 KFUM Oslo