Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Hapoel Afula — Liga Leumit 2019

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
4/17/2025Liga LeumitLiga Leumit · Relegation Round - 3Grundman Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 111+ matches

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon45%
×Draw26%
Hapoel Afula29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.51
Hapoel Afula
1.17

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon creates 29% more chances

Season form · 111 home / 129 away

creates per match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.41
Hapoel Afula
1.02

allows per match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.61

finishing

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon+0.00on par
Hapoel Afula+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon ↓

Hapoel Afula →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or draw
71%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon or Hapoel Afula
74%
Draw or Hapoel Afula
55%

Winning margin

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon wins by 2+
22%
Hapoel Afula wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1+ goals
78%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 2+ goals
44%
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 3+ goals
19%
Hapoel Afula 1+ goals
69%
Hapoel Afula 2+ goals
33%
Hapoel Afula 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon (draw refunded)
60%
Hapoel Afula (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.32 · 111 matches

Hapoel Afula away — creates 1.02, concedes 1.61 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon attack 1.41 + Hapoel Afula defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.51

Hapoel Afula attack 1.02 + Hapoel Ramat HaSharon defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon scores more
45%
level
26%
Hapoel Afula scores more
29%

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Hapoel Ramat HaSharon will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga Leumit: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 0–0 Hapoel Afula

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon and Hapoel Afula drew 0-0 in Liga Leumit on April 17, 2025.

The match was played at Grundman Stadium in Ramat-ha’Sharon.