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Hanácká vs Viktoria Otrokovice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Hanácká
Hanácká
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Viktoria Otrokovice
Viktoria Otrokovice
M. Holek 73'
M. Cupak 58'
Unknown 88', 69'
1/17/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Hanácká38%
×Draw21%
Viktoria Otrokovice41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hanácká
1.98
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.06

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 10 away

creates per match

Hanácká
1.86
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.70

allows per match

Hanácká
1.43
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.10

finishing

Hanácká+0.00on par
Viktoria Otrokovice+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hanácká ↓

Viktoria Otrokovice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–27%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (7%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Hanácká or draw
59%
Hanácká or Viktoria Otrokovice
79%
Draw or Viktoria Otrokovice
62%

Winning margin

Hanácká wins by 2+
21%
Viktoria Otrokovice wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Hanácká 1+ goals
86%
Hanácká 2+ goals
59%
Hanácká 3+ goals
31%
Viktoria Otrokovice 1+ goals
87%
Viktoria Otrokovice 2+ goals
61%
Viktoria Otrokovice 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Hanácká (draw refunded)
48%
Viktoria Otrokovice (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hanácká at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.43 · 14 matches

Viktoria Otrokovice away — creates 2.70, concedes 2.10 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hanácká attack 1.86 + Viktoria Otrokovice defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.98

Viktoria Otrokovice attack 2.70 + Hanácká defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 2.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Hanácká scores more
38%
level
21%
Viktoria Otrokovice scores more
41%

Viktoria Otrokovice at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Viktoria Otrokovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'
M. Cupak
69'
73'
M. Holek
88'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Hanácká vs Viktoria Otrokovice

Hanácká and Viktoria Otrokovice drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2025.

Goals: M. Cupak (58'), ? (69', 88'), M. Holek (73').