Scoreo

Gyori ETO FC vs KomárnoFriendlies Clubs 2026

Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
FT
07
HT: 02
Komárno
Komárno
K. Domonkos 71', 43'
D. Zak 65' (pen)
E. Mashike 61'
A. Krcik 55'
C. Bayemi 52'
J. Palan 33'

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Gyori ETO FC38%
×Draw22%
Komárno40%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO FC
1.76
Komárno
1.83

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 11 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.79
Komárno
1.73

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.93
Komárno
1.73

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par
Komárno+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC

Komárno
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
015%
025%
033%
041%
1
105%
119%
128%
135%
142%
2
204%
218%
227%
234%
242%
3
303%
315%
324%
333%
341%
4
401%
412%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw
60%
Gyori ETO FC or Komárno
78%
Draw or Komárno
62%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
19%
Komárno wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
83%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
52%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
26%
Komárno 1+ goals
84%
Komárno 2+ goals
54%
Komárno 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
48%
Komárno (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at homecreates 1.79, concedes 1.93 · 14 matches

Komárno awaycreates 1.73, concedes 1.73 · 11 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.79 + Komárno defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.76

Komárno attack 1.73 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more
38%
level
22%
Komárno scores more
40%

Komárno at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Komárno will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Gyori ETO FC 0 – 7 Komárno

Komárno beat Gyori ETO FC 7-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 18, 2026.

Goals: J. Palan (33'), K. Domonkos (43', 71'), C. Bayemi (52'), A. Krcik (55'), E. Mashike (61'), D. Zak (65' pen).