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Gyori ETO FC vs Komárno — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Gyori ETO FC
Gyori ETO FC
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Komárno
Komárno
1/14/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Gyori ETO FC37%
×Draw23%
Komárno40%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Gyori ETO FC
1.61
Komárno
1.67

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 12 away

creates per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.65
Komárno
1.58

allows per match

Gyori ETO FC
1.76
Komárno
1.58

finishing

Gyori ETO FC+0.00on par
Komárno+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Gyori ETO FC ↓

Komárno →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC or draw
60%
Gyori ETO FC or Komárno
77%
Draw or Komárno
63%

Winning margin

Gyori ETO FC wins by 2+
18%
Komárno wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Gyori ETO FC 1+ goals
80%
Gyori ETO FC 2+ goals
48%
Gyori ETO FC 3+ goals
22%
Komárno 1+ goals
81%
Komárno 2+ goals
50%
Komárno 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Gyori ETO FC (draw refunded)
48%
Komárno (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Gyori ETO FC at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.76 · 17 matches

Komárno away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.58 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Gyori ETO FC attack 1.65 + Komárno defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.61

Komárno attack 1.58 + Gyori ETO FC defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Gyori ETO FC scores more
37%
level
23%
Komárno scores more
40%

Komárno at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Komárno will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

49'
60'
80'
90'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Gyori ETO FC 0–0 Komárno

Gyori ETO FC and Komárno drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 14, 2023.