Grenoble 0–0 Reims: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Grenoble

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Reims

2/14/2026

Ligue 2 · Round 23Stade des Alpes

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Grenoble33%

×Draw28%

Reims39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

GrenobleExpected goals in this matchReims

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.11

1.23

Grenoble

1.11

Reims

1.23

Reims creates 11% more chances

Season form · 137 home / 27 away

1.18

creates per match

1.52

0.95

allows per match

1.04

creates per match

Grenoble

1.18

Reims

1.52

allows per match

Grenoble

0.95

Reims

1.04

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Grenoble+0.00on par

Reims+0.00on par

Total goals

Under59
Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Grenoble ↓

Reims →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–112%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–24%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

41%59%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Grenoble or draw

61%

Grenoble or Reims

72%

Draw or Reims

67%

Winning margin

Grenoble wins by 2+

13%

Reims wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Grenoble 1+ goals

67%

Grenoble 2+ goals

30%

Grenoble 3+ goals

10%

Reims 1+ goals

71%

Reims 2+ goals

35%

Reims 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Grenoble (draw refunded)

46%

Reims (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Grenoble at home — creates 1.18, concedes 0.95 · 137 matches

Reims away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.04 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Grenoble attack 1.18 + Reims defence 1.04 → ÷2 → 1.11

Reims attack 1.52 + Grenoble defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Grenoble scores more

33%

level

28%

Reims scores more

39%

Reims at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Reims will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

M. Diop

Grenoble · G

10.0

Match Events

2'

45+1'

46'

50'

61'

61'

M. Bangre← B. Mouazan

71'

71'

76'

81'

84'

Y. Fofana← Y. Benhattab

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

GrenobleReims

Overview

34%Possession66%

10Total Shots25

3Corners12

15Fouls12

Shots

10Total Shots25

2On Target8

4Off Target6

4Blocked11

7Inside Box16

3Outside Box9

Passing

34%Possession66%

292Total Passes562

217Accurate Passes473

74%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

8Saves2

Discipline

15Fouls12

1Yellow Cards2

1Offsides1